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In Syria, Russian-Turkish Deal is a Game Changer on the Ground

In Syria, Russian-Turkish Deal is a Game Changer on the Ground

Wednesday, October 23, 2019

A chain reaction of events over the past two weeks in Syria have effectively reordered the conflict’s balance of power. Russia has emerged as the key power broker in Syria. Meanwhile, both the Assad regime and Turkey have achieved important gains, while the Kurds have suffered a significant loss. A 10-point deal negotiated between Russia and Turkey—if implemented successfully—will fulfill Turkey’s long-held demand that Kurdish forces be pushed approximately 20 miles off the Syrian-Turkish border. Following a U.S. decision to withdraw the majority of its forces from Syria, the deal also cedes control over significant portions of northeast Syria to the Assad regime and Russia. USIP’s Mona Yacoubian looks at the elements of the Russian-Turkish deal and its implications for Syria and the broader region.

Type: Analysis

Conflict Analysis & Prevention

Ex-Ambassador: Alter Policy Toward Authoritarian Turkey

Ex-Ambassador: Alter Policy Toward Authoritarian Turkey

Thursday, July 5, 2018

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan this month takes up new executive powers, making him only more central to U.S. interests in neighboring Syria, Iraq and Iran. Yet Erdogan’s nationalism-tinged re-election last week will complicate relations, according to former U.S. ambassador to Turkey Eric Edelman.

Type: Analysis

Global Policy

What is Next for U.S.-Turkey Relations?

What is Next for U.S.-Turkey Relations?

Friday, April 20, 2018

Relations between the United States and Turkey have come under increasing strain in the past two years over the U.S. role in Syria and Ankara’s strengthening ties with Russia. American support for Kurdish forces battling ISIS has angered Turkey, which sees the cooperation as bolstering Kurdish nationalist elements inside its borders. USIP Board member Eric Edelman, a former U.S. ambassador to Turkey during the George W. Bush administration, and USIP International Advisory Council member Jake Sullivan, who served as Vice President Joe Biden’s national security adviser, provide some insight on the state of Turkish-American relations.

Type: Analysis

Conflict Analysis & Prevention

 Mona Yacoubian on the Changing Dynamics in Syria

Mona Yacoubian on the Changing Dynamics in Syria

Wednesday, January 17, 2018

Mona Yacoubian gives us a glimpse into the changing dynamics in Syria, addressing Assad’s grip on power, Russia’s support, and Iran and Turkey’s roles and interests. Yacoubian also addresses the rising tensions between Turkey and the United States over the Kurds.

Type: Podcast

Will Russian Peace Efforts Pay Off in Syria?

Will Russian Peace Efforts Pay Off in Syria?

Tuesday, November 21, 2017

Russian President Vladimir Putin welcomed Syrian President Bashar al-Assad to Sochi on Tuesday to discuss efforts to end the Syrian civil war. The presidents of Iran and Turkey are scheduled to meet Putin on Wednesday as Russia promises to scale back its military presence in Syria and push for a diplomatic solution.

Type: Analysis

Conflict Analysis & Prevention

U.S.-Turkey Dialogue: Ideas to Curb the Spread of WMD

U.S.-Turkey Dialogue: Ideas to Curb the Spread of WMD

Tuesday, July 21, 2015

The strategic implications of the July 14 Vienna accords on Iran’s nuclear program are a matter of considerable concern not only to the Arab Gulf States and Israel, but also to the only Middle East/European member of NATO: Turkey. That country’s leaders must now assess the implications of the nuclear agreement for their own security, and even more so, for what has often been a rocky relationship with the United States.

Type: Analysis

Conflict Analysis & PreventionJustice, Security & Rule of LawMediation, Negotiation & DialogueGlobal Policy

Aid to Civil Society: A Movement Mindset

Aid to Civil Society: A Movement Mindset

Monday, February 23, 2015

Supporting local agents of nonviolent change is critical to preventing violent conflict and advancing democratic development. Civic campaigns are key drivers of social and political development, as is clear from issues-focused movements in Central and Eastern Europe, Latin America, and most recently the Middle East and North Africa. Effectively aiding civic movements that are fluid, diverse, decentralized, and often loosely organized is tricky. Drawn from a review of the literature and numero...

Type: Special Report

Conflict Analysis & PreventionNonviolent Action

Music Plays Crucial Role in Non-Violent Civic Movements

Music Plays Crucial Role in Non-Violent Civic Movements

Tuesday, October 14, 2014

In Libya’s 2011 uprising, protesters pumped loud music from radios or CD players in the streets in front of government buildings, then fled from the inevitable rush of security forces. The nonviolent early days of Egypt’s revolution that same year spawned a raft of new independent music groups. In Turkey, the “Song of Pots and Pans” exhorts political leaders to stop their lies and repressive tactics.

Type: Analysis

Conflict Analysis & Prevention

The Crackdown on Media in Syria, Egypt and Turkey

The Crackdown on Media in Syria, Egypt and Turkey

Sunday, July 7, 2013

With the ouster of President Mohamed Morsi in Egypt, the ongoing civil war in Syria, and the protests in Turkey, a common reaction by governments has been to directly threaten the openness and vibrancy of media in an effort to overpower the messages of activists. But the tactics that these governments employ can differ widely.

Type: Analysis