Analysis and Commentary

Key Takeaways

  1. Iran marks the anniversary of the Islamic revolution in February amid increasingly existential challenges at home and in relations with the outside world.
  2. For all Iran’s tough defiance and menacing policies, the regime seems more brittle than at any time since the revolution — especially as a leadership transition looms.
  3. On the 44th anniversary, the prospect of domestic reforms, nuclear diplomacy or better relations with the West appear, at best, quite remote.

Analysis and Commentary

Key Takeaways

  1. Russia, like most historic imperial powers, will need to be defeated militarily before it abandons war as a means to dominate its neighbors.
  2. Since Ukrainian victory is vital for future peace, the United States and its allies should move immediately to provide Ukraine the equipment it needs to win.
  3. While the West should maintain full support for Ukraine’s defense, such as the tanks much discussed this month, it should encourage negotiation toward specific goals.

Video

Key Takeaways

  1. Ongoing friction between India and China and India and Pakistan is threatening strategic stability in southern Asia.
  2. India, China and Pakistan are all expanding their nuclear arsenals and weapon systems, which should concern policymakers.
  3. All three are also drawing lessons from Russia’s actions in Ukraine — particularly as it relates to nuclear saber-rattling, which could intensify future clashes among the three.

The Latest on Africa

USIP’s Joseph Sany explains what was accomplished at the USALS, what steps will be needed to further the summit’s objectives and the critical issues to be discussed at the forthcoming coming African Union Summit.

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President Volodymyr Zelenskyy of Ukraine during a news conference in Kyiv, March 3, 2022. (Lynsey Addario/The New York Times)

Public Event

Winning the Peace After the War

Wednesday, February 8 | 9:30am - 10:30am EST

Join USIP for a discussion on strategic competition between the United States and China in space. The conversation will feature the lead author of a newly published USIP report on the topic, as well as space scholars and experts from the U.S. government, as they explore how best tackle these complex challenges.