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Countering Coups: Experts Offer Steps for U.S. Policy

Countering Coups: Experts Offer Steps for U.S. Policy

Thursday, March 3, 2022

After a “year of coups” around Africa’s greater Sahel region, U.S. and other policymakers and democracy advocates are discussing how to respond. What policies—by the United States, other democracies and international institutions—can preserve democratic advances of recent decades and reverse the surge in military takeovers? Recent discussion among U.S.-based policy analysts has converged around several priorities. Analysts convened by USIP suggest concrete steps to broaden support for fragile democracies and to reverse coups when they happen.

Type: Analysis

Democracy & GovernanceFragility & ResilienceGlobal Policy

Tragically, Ukraine’s Agonies Have Only Begun

Tragically, Ukraine’s Agonies Have Only Begun

Friday, March 4, 2022

One week into Russia’s escalated war on Ukraine, it is millions of Ukrainians who have spoken most clearly, as civilians have joined their soldiers to resist for eight heroic days the Russian armored columns that many had expected to quickly capture Kyiv and other cities. The message is clear for Russians and others unable to see it before: Vladimir Putin is engaged in an unprovoked and unjustified war built on lies—about Ukraine, Russia and history—that he has spun purely to dominate Ukraine and advance his ambitions as a modern-day Russian emperor. Tragically, Ukrainians and the world must now prepare for the violence and risks to dramatically increase. Early costs of Russia’s assault: 15,000 Kyiv residents are sheltering in subway stations, above.

Type: Analysis

Conflict Analysis & PreventionGlobal Policy

A Closer Look at Biden’s Indo-Pacific Strategy

A Closer Look at Biden’s Indo-Pacific Strategy

Monday, March 7, 2022

On February 11, the White House announced its new strategy for a “free and open Indo-Pacific” region, which pledges support for regional connectivity, trade and investment, and deepening bilateral and multilateral partnerships. USIP’s Daniel Markey, Vikram J. Singh and Carla Freeman analyze the key priorities outlined in the document, and the strategic dynamics between the United States, India and China in the region.

Type: Analysis

Global Policy

This Global Resistance to Putin’s War Is Historic

This Global Resistance to Putin’s War Is Historic

Thursday, March 10, 2022

In just 15 days of Russia’s massive, new assault on Ukraine, democracies worldwide have mounted a historic act of repudiation — diplomatically, economically, militarily and morally. Nations are painfully cutting off trade with Russia. Thousands of public protests across 93 countries, including Russia, are deepening Vladimir Putin’s isolation. This collective support for Ukraine and rejection of Putin’s war is arguably the most unified global response to any act of state violence since the world’s opposition to European fascism during World War II. Sustaining it is how we can defeat Putin’s threat to world peace.

Type: Analysis

Conflict Analysis & PreventionGlobal Policy

Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia’s Balancing Act Over Russia’s War in Ukraine

Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia’s Balancing Act Over Russia’s War in Ukraine

Tuesday, March 15, 2022

Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia have tried in different ways to balance the need for good relations with Moscow with a desire to support Ukrainian territorial integrity and sovereignty. Each has reason to be cautious: Moscow has exploited ongoing conflicts in all three countries to dominate its self-defined sphere of vital interests. While these conflicts persist, Moscow will maintain significant leverage over Yerevan, Baku and Tbilisi. Working with them to resolve these conflicts and preserve their sovereignty should be a priority for the United States and Europe.

Type: Analysis

Conflict Analysis & PreventionGlobal Policy

Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine Helps the Taliban and Makes Afghans Worse Off

Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine Helps the Taliban and Makes Afghans Worse Off

Wednesday, March 16, 2022

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is an acute disaster for Ukraine and Europe. But it also has a profound geopolitical impact — one that will have ripple effects for the major humanitarian disaster in Afghanistan. An active war in Europe is bad news for Afghanistan, as this draws away resources, sympathy and attention from the millions of Afghans that are also struggling to get cash, food and protection from human rights abuse. And the Taliban stand to benefit, since they no longer appear to be the world’s most notorious aggressor and will gain political space to consolidate their control over the country.  

Type: Analysis

Conflict Analysis & PreventionGlobal PolicyHuman Rights

Ukraine’s Defiance Could Force Putin into Talks

Ukraine’s Defiance Could Force Putin into Talks

Friday, March 18, 2022

Three weeks of heroic resistance by Ukraine’s troops and citizen volunteers, buttressed by a historic international outpouring of support, have denied Russian President Vladimir Putin the lightning seizure of Ukrainian cities that he expected in his brutal assault. As Russia continues to indiscriminately bomb Ukraine’s cities, the stalled ground offensive may force Putin to recalculate. He could escalate violence, but also may be forced to negotiate — and a series of meetings between the two sides could be laying the groundwork for an agreement to stop the fighting. But to even consider any real negotiation, Putin must finally recognize that 44 million Ukrainians and their supporters will resist indefinitely.

Type: Analysis

Conflict Analysis & PreventionGlobal Policy

Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine Shakes Up Venezuela’s Geopolitical Status Quo

Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine Shakes Up Venezuela’s Geopolitical Status Quo

Friday, March 18, 2022

As the United States gauges the global fallout from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, U.S. officials quietly met with Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro in what marked a dramatic shift in longstanding U.S. policy. Despite cautious readouts from both sides, Venezuela’s subsequent release of two American prisoners indicates the meeting may have opened the door for future cooperation in addressing one of the world’s worst political, economic and humanitarian crises. USIP’s Ana Caridad and Keith Mines look at what we know about the trip, the possible diplomatic paths forward, where Venezuela’s opposition movement fits in, and how Venezuela’s deep ties to Russia might affect U.S.-Venezuelan engagement.

Type: Analysis

Democracy & GovernanceGlobal Policy

La Invasión Rusa de Ucrania Sacude el Statu Quo Geopolítico de Venezuela

La Invasión Rusa de Ucrania Sacude el Statu Quo Geopolítico de Venezuela

Friday, March 18, 2022

Mientras Estados Unidos evalúa las consecuencias globales de la invasión rusa de Ucrania, los funcionarios estadounidenses se reunieron en silencio con el Presidente venezolano Nicolas Maduro en lo que marcó un cambio drástico en la establecida política exterior estadounidense. A pesar de las lecturas cautelosas de ambas partes, la posterior liberación de dos prisioneros estadounidenses por parte de Venezuela indica que la reunión puede haber abierto la puerta a una futura cooperación para abordar una de las peores crisis políticas, económicas y humanitarias del mundo. Ana Caridad y Keith Mines de USIP analizan lo que sabemos sobre el viaje, los posibles caminos diplomáticos a seguir, dónde encaja el movimiento de oposición de Venezuela y cómo los profundos lazos de Venezuela con Rusia podrían afectar el reciente relacionamiento entre Estados Unidos y Venezuela.

Type: Analysis

Democracy & GovernanceGlobal Policy

Rethinking U.S. Engagement with U.N. in the Context of Ukraine: Part One

Rethinking U.S. Engagement with U.N. in the Context of Ukraine: Part One

Monday, March 21, 2022

The international community’s swift and unified response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has been nothing short of historic. Countries around the world have offered their individual repudiation of Russia’s aggression, from sanctions to much-needed aid for Ukrainian forces and civilians. But it’s the resurgence of multilateral institutions such as the United Nations that has been one of the more interesting — and potentially powerful — developments so far.

Type: Analysis

Global Policy