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Sudan’s Crisis Offers New Lessons for Building Peace in the Sahel

Sudan’s Crisis Offers New Lessons for Building Peace in the Sahel

Thursday, May 25, 2023

Sudan’s five-week war has killed or wounded over 5,000 people, uprooted a million more — and reignited understandable frustrations over how U.S. and international policies can better prevent or respond to such upheavals. Amid heated policy debates, we should step back briefly to pinpoint lessons from this crisis that can improve our responses in Sudan and across the Sahel’s web of coups, insurgencies and extremism. Indeed, that task is urgent — both to address the complex evolutions in the region’s crises and to build support for smarter, steadier engagement, rather than a self-defeating retreat from the Sahel by global partners seeking democracy and stability.

Type: Analysis

Civilian-Military RelationsDemocracy & Governance

Like Ukraine, Myanmar Deserves International Aid

Like Ukraine, Myanmar Deserves International Aid

Tuesday, June 13, 2023

Over decades of brutal military rule, Myanmar’s generals have sometimes shifted tactics but relied on one consistent strategy to ensure their grip on power — fomenting divisions within the population and fueling intercommunal violence. That repeated ploy finally failed in the upheaval that followed the 2021 coup. Today, the country has embraced an historic unity that brings together virtually every ethnic and political strand to oppose the ruling junta. Like Ukrainians, Myanmar's people are courageous, spirited and united, and willing to make great sacrifice in their fight for democracy.

Type: Analysis

Democracy & GovernanceGlobal Policy

For a Future Peaceful Russia, Engage its Exiles Now

For a Future Peaceful Russia, Engage its Exiles Now

Wednesday, June 14, 2023

To pursue his war on Ukraine, Vladimir Putin has crushed the last of Russia’s once-vibrant civil society. He has imprisoned some 20,000 dissidents, throttled all independent media — and triggered an exodus of perhaps 1 million Russians, many of them young, educated and technically skilled. As the West helps Ukrainians’ immediate struggle to survive, any long game to defeat Putin’s assaults on Ukraine, international law and peace requires that we cultivate, not isolate, this new Russian diaspora. Whenever Russians become able to shape their country’s future after Putin, the new exiles will be potential allies of democracy and rule of law.

Type: Analysis

Democracy & Governance

Three Things to Watch as Bangladesh’s National Election Season Heats Up

Three Things to Watch as Bangladesh’s National Election Season Heats Up

Thursday, June 15, 2023

Bangladesh is increasingly recognized as an important player in Indo-Pacific competition, but its tumultuous domestic politics are now drawing attention with parliamentary elections due by January 2024. Economic crisis and opposition mobilization threaten to unseat the ruling Awami League (AL), which faces escalating American pressure to prove its democratic credentials after 15 years in power. The primary opposition party, the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP), is currently boycotting the next national contest until Bangladesh’s election administration is reformed. On the streets, violence is rising between and within parties while voter disillusion has grown amid years of political intransigence.

Type: Analysis

Democracy & Governance

Kurdish Official Lists ISIS and Climate Change as Top Threats

Kurdish Official Lists ISIS and Climate Change as Top Threats

Thursday, June 22, 2023

More than five years since the Iraqi government declared victory over ISIS, a senior Kurdish official says the terrorist group is among the top threats facing the region. Alongside ISIS, Rebar Ahmed, minister of interior in the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), listed climate change and the resource scarcities and migration it would trigger as a critical challenge.

Type: Analysis

Democracy & GovernanceEnvironmentViolent Extremism

There is a Path Forward in Haiti — But It’s Not the One We Are On

There is a Path Forward in Haiti — But It’s Not the One We Are On

Thursday, June 29, 2023

There are few international crises where the tension between international assistance and locally led solutions is in greater conflict than Haiti. Failure to get that balance right goes a long way toward explaining the failure to solve the crisis for the two long years since the assassination of Haiti’s president. The country has a long list of needs, including on pressing, immediate issues like food security, health care, rampant gang violence and education. Ultimately, Haiti needs a credible and transparent election to reset its political system. But the functioning transitional government it requires is something that can best be achieved through an assertive political process that blends outside assistance with independent local actors, bringing together all key stakeholders under international facilitation.

Type: Analysis

Democracy & GovernanceMediation, Negotiation & Dialogue

Chad’s Political Transition Might Be Its Last Shot for Democracy and Peace

Chad’s Political Transition Might Be Its Last Shot for Democracy and Peace

Thursday, July 6, 2023

The state of Chad’s political transition is not reassuring. Despite some signs of progress during the National Inclusive and Sovereign Dialogue (DNIS) last October, security forces engaged in violent crackdowns of protests shortly afterward — killing dozens of civilians. Meanwhile, now-President Mahamat Idriss Déby has moved to consolidate power ahead of elections planned for October 2024, leaving opposition and civic groups worried that Déby may not turn power over to a civilian government.

Type: Analysis

Democracy & Governance

La transition politique au Tchad pourrait être la dernière chance pour la démocratie et la paix

La transition politique au Tchad pourrait être la dernière chance pour la démocratie et la paix

Thursday, July 6, 2023

L'état de la transition politique au Tchad n'est pas rassurant. Malgré quelques signes de progrès lors du Dialogue national inclusif et souverain (DNIS) d'octobre dernier, les forces de sécurité se sont engagées dans une violente répression des manifestations peu après - tuant des dizaines de civils. Entre-temps, l'actuel président Mahamat Idriss Déby a pris des mesures pour consolider le pouvoir avant les élections prévues pour octobre 2024, laissant l'opposition et les groupes de la société civile préoccupés par le fait que Déby pourrait ne pas remettre le pouvoir à un gouvernement civil.

Type: Analysis

Democracy & Governance

What’s at Stake in Guatemala’s Election Pause?

What’s at Stake in Guatemala’s Election Pause?

Thursday, July 6, 2023

Guatemalan voters defied predictions on June 25 by sending an anti-corruption crusader to runoff elections for the country’s presidency. Bernardo Arévalo, a professorial lawmaker and former diplomat, placed second in a crowded field, earning a place in the final round on August 20 against perennial presidential candidate and former First Lady, Sandra Torres.

Type: Analysis

Democracy & Governance