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Ashraf Ghani’s Pakistan Outreach

Ashraf Ghani’s Pakistan Outreach

Monday, June 29, 2015

Shortly after entering office at the end of 2014, Afghan President Ashraf Ghani embarked on a bold but controversial policy of sustained conciliation toward Pakistan, with the goal of securing greater cooperation in securing a comprehensive peace with the Afghan Taliban and integrating Afghanistan into the regional economies. Pakistan's tepid response to date, however, has left Ghani politically vulnerable, with his opponents attacking his outreach effort.  Time is of the essence. Without mea...

Type: Special Report

Conflict Analysis & PreventionViolent ExtremismMediation, Negotiation & Dialogue

To Help Afghanistan Survive, Narrow the Focus

To Help Afghanistan Survive, Narrow the Focus

Friday, June 19, 2015

Afghanistan’s Taliban are trying to defeat the government in this first year following the U.S. military’s withdrawal from combat operations, and their surge in attacks has driven the rate of army and police casualties at least 65 percent higher than last year. Still, a focused strategy can help the government survive, USIP experts say.

Type: Analysis

Violent ExtremismDemocracy & GovernanceCivilian-Military Relations

The Politics of Disarmament and Rearmament in Afghanistan

The Politics of Disarmament and Rearmament in Afghanistan

Wednesday, May 20, 2015

Four international programs designed to disarm, demobilize, and reintegrate militias in Afghanistan since 2001 have largely failed. They have instead largely reinforced existing power relations. Perhaps their gravest impact has been to deepen patterns of political exclusion that underlie much of the violence that have driven support for the insurgency. Demilitarization, this report makes clear, is only part of a wider political process, both with Taliban leaders and between pro-government fac...

Type: Peaceworks

Conflict Analysis & PreventionReconciliationJustice, Security & Rule of Law

Understanding Afghanistan's 2014 Presidential Election

Understanding Afghanistan's 2014 Presidential Election

Friday, April 24, 2015

Afghanistan’s 2014 presidential election did lead to its first peaceful transfer of power. The process, however, was scarcely democratic. This report explores the election and its internationally mediated unity government outcome. Elections—when they can even be held in fragile and conflict-affected situations—tend to be more destabilizing than stabilizing. The overall lesson, as this report makes clear, points to certain critical needs for such countries: a better understanding of inherent i...

Type: Special Report

Mediation, Negotiation & DialogueDemocracy & Governance

Afghanistan’s Emerging Mining Oligarchy

Afghanistan’s Emerging Mining Oligarchy

Thursday, January 22, 2015

Rich in natural resources—ferrous and nonferrous metals and strategic minerals in particular—Afghanistan faces a dual threat as international troops withdraw and international aid declines. On the one hand are inadequate government revenues. On the other is the resource curse that affects so many low-income countries. This report, drawn from case studies of five ongoing Afghan mining operations, addresses resource exploitation, its impact on the political economy and internal conflict, and po...

Type: Special Report

EnvironmentEconomics

Ukraine-Russia Conflict Colors View of Civic Roles in Central Asia

Ukraine-Russia Conflict Colors View of Civic Roles in Central Asia

Tuesday, December 23, 2014

Ukraine and the countries of Central Asia wouldn’t seem to have much in common other than their former Soviet past. But post-Soviet Russian ambitions may be linking them in unexpected ways. The outcome of Ukraine’s current effort to consolidate its democracy, against Russia’s resistance, has ramifications for whether the Central Asian countries view civil society and democracy as a driver of instability or a force for reform.  

Type: Analysis

Afghans Still Enthusiastic About Vote

Afghans Still Enthusiastic About Vote

Thursday, June 12, 2014

After the first round of voting in the presidential race in Afghanistan, where over 7 million Afghans went to the polls on April 5, 2014, a handful of political pundits and interest groups urged the two leading candidates, Dr. Abdullah Abdullah and Dr. Ashraf Ghani Ahmadzai, to make a deal to avoid a second round scheduled for June 14. President Karzai played an active role in brokering between the candidates and the political elite. A range of arguments were put forth on behalf of such a dea...

Type: Analysis

Let Afghan Voters Finish the Job

Let Afghan Voters Finish the Job

Thursday, May 8, 2014

Kabul has been full of rumors about an attempt to reach a "political deal" in order to avoid a second round of voting required by the constitution. Strangely, most of the commentary in the western press has treated such a deal as if it would be desirable. We believe it would be a huge mistake.

Type: Analysis

Next Steps for Afghanistan

Next Steps for Afghanistan

Thursday, April 24, 2014

“The Afghan people voted for change. Change in life, in educational and employment opportunities, in better governance,” Shahmahmood Miakhel, USIP’s Afghanistan country director and former Afghan Deputy Minister of Interior, said at a USIP event First Impressions of the Afghan Elections on April 9. 

Type: Analysis