Guinea
Following a coup in 2021, Guinea has undergone a protracted transition process led by the military. Political tensions and governance challenges, instability from the Sahel, and great power competition over natural resources continue to threaten Guinea’s path to peace. Since 2023, USIP has supported allies and partners in their efforts to foster a peaceful transition to civilian rule. USIP’s work includes facilitating communication between transitional authorities, U.S. officials and regional organizations; providing trainings in peacebuilding and conflict resolution; and providing practical options for U.S. efforts to support peace and security through Guinea’s transition.
Featured Research & Analysis
How Chinese Mining Is Enabling the Guinean Junta’s Power Grab
Once seen as a promising democracy in West Africa, Guinea has been mired in political turmoil in recent years — especially in the wake of the country’s 2021 military coup. After initially promising a smooth transition to democracy, the ruling junta led by Colonel Mamady Doumbouya has repeatedly postponed key milestones, cracked down on opposition, restricted media and committed a number of human rights violations.
Amid International Silence, Guinea’s Coup Regime Imperils Transition
Over the past three years, the Sahel and West Africa have seen an alarming number of military coups. With the region’s stability and security hanging in the balance, the international community has promoted peaceful democratic transitions (and found early success in Gabon). Meanwhile, coup regimes in countries like Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger — which recently formed the Alliance of Sahel States (AES) — have sought closer cooperation with China and Russia, prompting concern and dismay from supporters of democracy. Often lost in all this tumult is Guinea, which saw its own coup d’état in September 2021. Unlike some of its counterparts, the Guinean military has managed to avoid the attention, engagement or scrutiny of the West as it continues to entrench itself in power.
Countering Coups: How to Reverse Military Rule Across the Sahel
Three years of coups around Africa’s Sahel region — eight of them in six nations, from Guinea on the Atlantic to Sudan on the Red Sea — leave many African and other policymakers frustrated over how to respond. The Sahel’s crises have uprooted more than 4 million people and could add millions more to our record levels of global human migration as Africa’s population grows and its climate destabilizes. Yet the pattern of coups and other evidence — notably from USIP’s Sahel fieldwork, counter-coup research and bipartisan analysis teams — offer guidelines for effective responses by African, U.S. and international policymakers.