Research & Analysis
U.S. Institute of Peace’s articles, reports, tools and other features provide policy analysis, research findings, and practitioner guides. These publications examine critical conflict issues at the center of the Institute’s work to prevent and resolve violent conflict.
The views expressed in these publications are those of the author(s).
Pursuing Stable Coexistence: A Reorientation of U.S. Policy Toward North Korea
It is now clear that applying pressure does not lead to North Korean restraint; rather, it fuels North Korean provocations. The United States and its allies should instead seek stable coexistence with Pyongyang as an overarching goal.
The Perils of a Cold War Analogy for Today’s U.S.-China Rivalry
In the new era of great power rivalry between the United States and the People’s Republic of China (hereafter “China”), the paradigm of strategic competition has become popular. In looking to make sense of the present global geopolitical moment and paradigm, pundits search for a relevant historical analogy.
How to Break Gangs’ Grip on Haiti
Since the assassination of President Jovenel Moïse in 2021, Haiti has spiraled into chaos, with gangs tightening their grip on nearly every aspect of daily life. Once a fragile but functioning state, the country now finds its capital, Port-au-Prince, almost entirely controlled by gangs — and their influence is spreading. A new U.N. report warns that the situation is more dire than ever, as armed groups extend their control into new territories, displacing communities and deepening the country’s humanitarian crisis. As of January over one million people are displaced, the majority of them children, major roads are impassable, and “5.4 million Haitians – nearly half the population – do not have enough to eat.”
What Do Changes in China’s Nuclear Program Mean for India?
At the end of 2024, the annual U.S. Department of Defense report on military and security developments in China reinforced evolving assessments of China’s rapid nuclear expansion with an alarming projection: The U.S. expects China to have 1,000 nuclear warheads by 2030 despite having maintained a nuclear arsenal of approximately 300 warheads for decades.
Taiwan Stronger: Ramping Up Defense Resilience to Counter China
The direct threat that China poses to Taiwan continues to rise and is far more severe and serious today than ever before. In addition to the increasing daily tempo of gray-zone coercion and armed provocations all around Taiwan, the specter of an outright attack or naval blockade by China looms larger than at any other time in the post-Cold War era.
How Chinese Mining Is Enabling the Guinean Junta’s Power Grab
Once seen as a promising democracy in West Africa, Guinea has been mired in political turmoil in recent years — especially in the wake of the country’s 2021 military coup. After initially promising a smooth transition to democracy, the ruling junta led by Colonel Mamady Doumbouya has repeatedly postponed key milestones, cracked down on opposition, restricted media and committed a number of human rights violations.
Venezuelans' Voting Dilemma: Participate or Abstain?
When it comes to Venezuela, all eyes of late have been focused on the Trump administration’s deliberations over sustaining or selectively lifting sanctions. The decision will have a major impact on Venezuela’s ability to produce and sell oil. Beyond that, the administration’s moves on sanctions will serve as a key signal of its Venezuela policy and whether Washington will return to a policy of maximum pressure or take a more accommodating approach.
Lessons for the U.S. from the Evolution of China’s Ties in Latin America
As the Trump administration looks to compete more effectively with China in Latin America, it should take stock of the various ways in which China’s relationship with the region has evolved over the past four years. China’s economic engagement with Latin America is changing in notable ways, alongside shifts in China’s economic landscape and industrial policy. China’s diplomatic outreach is also evolving as the country seeks to maintain and deepen political and economic ties to the region while pursuing a position of leadership within the Global South.
La Seguridad de EE. UU. en las Américas Pasa por El Salvador, Guatemala y Honduras
Los tres países más septentrionales de Centroamérica —Guatemala, El Salvador y Honduras— se encuentran entre los más pequeños y pobres del hemisferio occidental. Aunque a menudo pasados por alto, su ubicación en el punto de conexión entre América del Norte y del Sur los hace peligrosos de ignorar. La inestabilidad política y económica en esta región estratégicamente ubicada puede repercutir en toda América.
U.S. Security in the Americas Flows Through El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras
The three northernmost countries of Central America — Guatemala, El Salvador and Honduras — are among the smallest and poorest in the Western Hemisphere. Though often overlooked, their location at the nexus of North and South America also makes them dangerous to ignore. Political and economic turmoil in this strategically located region can reverberate throughout the Americas.