Menu

United States Institute of Peace

Home ▶ Events

Fragile But Intact: Understanding India and Pakistan’s Three-Year Ceasefire

Date: Friday, March 8, 2024 / Time: 9:00am - 10:00am EST

Center: Asia Center

Share This
Print the Page

On February 24, 2021, India and Pakistan announced a renewal of the ceasefire along the Line of Control (LoC) in Kashmir. Three years later, the ceasefire has become one of the longest-lasting in the countries’ 75-year shared history. However, Christopher Clary’s new USIP report, “The 2021 India-Pakistan Ceasefire: Origins, Prospects, and Lessons Learned,” argues that the ceasefire remains vulnerable to shocks from terrorist attacks, changes in leadership and shifting regional relations.

On March 8, USIP hosted a conversation on the LoC ceasefire that explored findings from this new USIP report, the factors that have helped keep the ceasefire in place, and what new regional dynamics could mean for its sustainability in the future.

Speakers

Christopher Clary 
Associate Professor of Political Science, University of Albany 

Happymon Jacob 
Founder and Honorary Director, Council for Strategic and Defense Research 

Asfandyar Mir
Senior Expert, South Asia, U.S. Institute of Peace 

Tamanna Salikuddin, moderator 
Director, South Asia Programs, U.S. Institute of Peace 

Related Publications

What’s Driving India-China Tensions?

What’s Driving India-China Tensions?

Monday, March 25, 2024

By: Dean Cheng ;   Sameer P. Lalwani, Ph.D. ;   Daniel Markey, Ph.D. ;   Nilanthi Samaranayake

Since deadly clashes between India and China on their 2,100-mile disputed border — known as the Line of Actual Control (LAC) — nearly four years ago, the two countries have remained in a standoff and amassed an increasing number of troops on either side of the LAC. While India and China have held regular exchanges at the corps commander level since 2020, each side has also continued to militarize and invest in infrastructure in the high-altitude border regions, which may exacerbate risks of clashes or escalation. India-China competition has also deepened beyond the land border, particularly in the Indian Ocean region.

Type: Question and Answer

Global Policy

Sameer Lalwani on INDUS-X and the Importance of Technology Coalitions

Sameer Lalwani on INDUS-X and the Importance of Technology Coalitions

Tuesday, March 5, 2024

By: Sameer P. Lalwani, Ph.D.

Technology partnerships like the U.S.-India INDUS-X “are going to be critical to the U.S. being able to defend and deter rising threats in the future, including the challenge of China,” says USIP’s Sameer Lalwani. “We need the strength of our allies in these coalitions” to maintain a technological advantage.

Type: Podcast

The Limitations of India and Russia’s Transactional Relationship

The Limitations of India and Russia’s Transactional Relationship

Thursday, February 22, 2024

By: Dr. Jagannath Panda

Since Russia’s unprovoked invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, it might seem as though ties between India and Russia have strengthened. While much of the West isolated Russia, India-Russia energy trade spiked, and India made efforts to accommodate Russia on the world stage. The two countries have also had visible public exchanges, such as a mid-January phone call between Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Russian President Vladimir Putin and Indian External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar’s trip to Moscow at the end of 2023.

Type: Analysis

Global Policy

As Fragile Kashmir Cease-Fire Turns Three, Here’s How to Keep it Alive

As Fragile Kashmir Cease-Fire Turns Three, Here’s How to Keep it Alive

Wednesday, February 21, 2024

By: Christopher Clary

At midnight on the night of February 24-25, 2021, India and Pakistan reinstated a cease-fire that covered their security forces operating “along the Line of Control (LOC) and all other sectors” in Kashmir, the disputed territory that has been at the center of the India-Pakistan conflict since 1947. While the third anniversary of that agreement is a notable landmark in the history of India-Pakistan cease-fires, the 2021 cease-fire is fragile and needs bolstering to be maintained.

Type: Analysis

Global Policy

View All Publications