When is it better to bluster and when is it better to back down? How are decisions made that ultimately lead to war or peace? Who are best situated to know the "ground truth" and how to manage emerging crises? How might unintended consequences be minimized or mitigated? Controversy over the decision-making process that led to U.S. involvement in Iraq has created renewed interest in who knew what, when, where, and how.

Senior Fellow and Washington Post journalist Michael Dobbs has just completed a book manuscript on the Cuban Missile Crisis, One Minute to Midnight, to be published by Knopf. In his project report, Dobbs will draw lessons from his research on the missile crisis for current conflict management styles related to the war on terror. Mr. Dobbs has been a national reporter for the Washington Post for fourteen years, and served as Moscow Bureau Chief from 1988-1993, Paris Bureau Chief from 1982-1986, Eastern Europe Bureau Chief from 1980-1982, and as a freelance journalist in Africa and Eastern Europe from 1976-1980.

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Transnational Crime in Southeast Asia: A Growing Threat to Global Peace and Security

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Monday, May 13, 2024

Organized crime is a significant driver of conflict globally. It preys on weak governance, slack law enforcement, and inadequate regulation. It tears at the fabric of societies by empowering and enriching armed actors and fueling violent conflict. In Asia, criminal groups prop up corrupt and dangerous regimes from Myanmar to North Korea, posing a direct threat to regional stability.

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From wars in Ukraine and the Middle East to rising tensions in the South China Sea, there is no shortage of crises to occupy the time and attention of U.S. policymakers. But three years after the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, the threat of terrorism emanating from South Asia remains strong and policymakers need to be more vigilant. Indeed, at the end of March, an Afghanistan-based affiliate of ISIS launched a devastating attack outside of Moscow, killing over 140 people.

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What Does the Xi-Ma Meeting Mean for Cross-Strait Relations?

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Thursday, May 9, 2024

Chinese leader Xi Jinping held talks on April 10 with former Taiwan president Ma Ying-Jeou in Beijing’s Great Hall of the People. The meeting came as tensions between Beijing and Taipei remain high, particularly following Taiwan’s election at the beginning of the year, which saw pro-sovereignty candidate William Lai Ching-te win a historic third term for the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP). Ma served as president from 2008 to 2016, is a member of the Nationalist (KMT) party and is known for advocating closer ties with mainland China.

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A Livable Climate Needs Help From Youth; the U.S. Can Foster It

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Humanity is at a tipping point. New data confirms 2023 as Earth’s hottest-ever recorded year. Increasing temperatures, rising seas and extreme weather are heightening tension over resources, damaging people’s health and livelihoods, and displacing millions. Young people have one of the largest stakes in climate decisions made today, for they face the lasting environmental consequences of climate change — and the consequent threats to peace and security. Yet youth remain mostly excluded from decision-making on climate. U.S. leadership, via three steps in particular, can bolster genuine youth leadership on climate that prioritizes the welfare of future generations.

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