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Ukraine: Justice for War Crimes Must Begin with Evidence

Ukraine: Justice for War Crimes Must Begin with Evidence

Thursday, April 7, 2022

Photos and reporting emerging following the withdrawal of Russian forces from towns near Kyiv have triggered global revulsion, notably at the apparent summary execution of civilians. This initial evidence strongly suggests that Russian behavior in towns like Bucha and Irpin amounts to the widespread, systematic violence against civilians typical of atrocity crimes. World leaders have condemned the violence as war crimes, urging investigations and accountability. Ensuring eventual accountability for perpetrators and justice for victims means governments and others must quickly support the essential first step: the broadest possible collection of evidence.

Type: Analysis

Conflict Analysis & PreventionGlobal Policy

Ukraine: The Dangers in Russia’s New Offensive

Ukraine: The Dangers in Russia’s New Offensive

Tuesday, April 19, 2022

After the Ukrainian armed forces defeated Russian troops, forcing them to retreat from their assault on Kyiv and northern Ukraine, Russia has concentrated its forces on eastern and southeastern Ukraine, with a notoriously brutal general now in command. These changes open a new chapter in Vladimir Putin’s assault that will be unpredictable and potentially more destructive. The humanitarian cost, notably in the besieged port of Mariupol, has grown only more calamitous. This new chapter will heighten the stakes both for aggressors and defenders—and the imperative for democracies to sustain support for Ukraine, including with longer-range weapons for its defense.

Type: Analysis

Global Policy

Protecting Civilians in Ukraine Now — and After the War

Protecting Civilians in Ukraine Now — and After the War

Thursday, April 21, 2022

From the images of the people summarily executed in Bucha to the remnants of Mariupol’s bombarded theater where hundreds of civilian refugees perished, Russia’s war on Ukraine has unleashed immense suffering on the civilian population. As policymakers debate the most effective forms of support amid Russia’s new offensive in the east and southeast, Ukraine must be provided with the necessary military assistance to fend off Russian aggression. But it will be equally important to immediately start planning for the long term, preparing to offer flexible and multifaceted support to the military and civilian components of Ukraine’s security sector.

Type: Analysis

Justice, Security & Rule of Law

How to Achieve Accountability for Atrocities in Ukraine

How to Achieve Accountability for Atrocities in Ukraine

Thursday, April 21, 2022

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has resulted in a remarkable alignment of international actors supporting accountability processes. The international community — states, regional bodies, civil society and the U.N. — has provided funding and expertise to the Ukrainian government and launched documentation and evidence collection efforts, fact-finding missions and criminal investigations into Russia’s invasion and the crimes committed against Ukrainian civilians. The progress made to date stands to advance the rights of Ukrainians and other vulnerable communities faced with aggressive state action. Moving forward, this united effort will require the coordination, creativity and sustained political will to ensure that perpetrators are held accountable, and that justice is delivered to victims.

Type: Analysis

Human RightsJustice, Security & Rule of LawGlobal Policy

How Territorial Issues Could Impact Security Guarantees to Ukraine

How Territorial Issues Could Impact Security Guarantees to Ukraine

Wednesday, April 27, 2022

In late March, the Ukrainian delegation to the Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations in Istanbul put forward a draft peace agreement. The keystone of this agreement was a mutual defense guarantee, similar to NATO’s Article 5, to protect Ukraine. Treaty-bound guarantors would come to Ukraine’s defense in the event of an attack on the country, in exchange for Ukraine’s neutrality. But it is possible that Ukraine’s borders will be altered as part of a final peace settlement. As such, states should understand the territorial issues at stake and how those issues could trigger any negotiated security guarantee mechanisms.

Type: Analysis

Global PolicyPeace Processes

A Look at Neutrality Now — and After the Ukraine War

A Look at Neutrality Now — and After the Ukraine War

Thursday, April 28, 2022

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has prompted several conversations about the concept of “neutrality” in international law and related matters. Although this week’s visits between United Nations Secretary-General Antonió Guterres and Russian President Vladimir Putin and Guterres and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy have sparked some hope of reinvigorating peace talks, a settlement seems like a distant prospect. Nonetheless, it is likely that any deal will include provisions for Ukraine’s long-term neutrality in exchange for external states’ security guarantees. But autocrats like Putin often weaponize international legal concepts like neutrality for their own ends. As such, it is vital to reconsider and update global commitments to stabilizing legal frameworks to prevent would-be aggressors from exploiting international law.

Type: Analysis

Global Policy

Will the Ukraine War Renew Global Commitments to the International Criminal Court?

Will the Ukraine War Renew Global Commitments to the International Criminal Court?

Thursday, April 28, 2022

The international response to Russia’s February 2022 invasion of Ukraine has resulted in the highest level of support for the International Criminal Court (ICC) since its creation 20 years ago. Forty-three states parties to the Rome Statute, the ICC’s foundational treaty, have referred the conflict to the Court for investigation. States — both state parties and non-state parties to the Rome Statute — have stepped up to support investigative efforts through financial resources and intelligence.

Type: Analysis

Global PolicyHuman RightsJustice, Security & Rule of Law

The Ukraine War Escalates Demands to Reform the United Nations

The Ukraine War Escalates Demands to Reform the United Nations

Friday, April 29, 2022

Russia’s brutal assault on Ukraine has revived demands that the world repair longstanding weaknesses in the United Nations’ ability to counter wars of aggression. This week’s Russia-Ukraine diplomacy by the U.N. secretary-general, and a surprising vote at the U.N. General Assembly, seem likely to energize those debates and attempts at repair.

Type: Analysis

Global Policy

Russia’s Ukraine War Could Offer Chance to Resolve South Caucasus Conflicts

Russia’s Ukraine War Could Offer Chance to Resolve South Caucasus Conflicts

Thursday, May 5, 2022

Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the world’s attention has been justly focused on the war and the devastation inflicted on Ukrainian civilians. However, as the war drags on — and becomes ever more costly to Russia — policymakers in the United States and Europe must pay increasing attention to other areas where the diminution of Russia’s military reputation may upset local balances of power.

Type: Analysis

Global PolicyPeace Processes

Estonia’s Ex-President Kaljulaid: The Future of the Free World Is at Stake in Ukraine

Estonia’s Ex-President Kaljulaid: The Future of the Free World Is at Stake in Ukraine

Wednesday, May 11, 2022

Kersti Kaljulaid, a former president of Estonia, wants the West to enhance its support for Ukraine, end its dependence on Russian gas, and maintain sanctions on Russia even after Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine is over. Speaking at the U.S. Institute of Peace on May 10, Kaljulaid described the ongoing war in Ukraine as one that is between “the free world and the other world, a world of tyranny.” She warned: “If Ukraine loses, we all would have lost.”

Type: Analysis

Global Policy