Since President Biden’s virtual summit with President Putin on December 7, Russia has increased its troop presence on or near Ukraine’s borders. Having created this crisis, the Kremlin has demanded security guarantees for Russia that the United States and its allies cannot possibly provide.

Conflict Analysis & Prevention

Former U.S. diplomat Donald Jensen says predictions about Russia are always hard. He served at the embassy in Moscow as the Soviet Union was collapsing, and again in the years afterward.

Conflict Analysis & Prevention;  Democracy & Governance

Outrage among European Union officials who say Belarus is deliberately trying to flood Middle Eastern migrants into Poland and Lithuania reached new heights Monday, with the EU announcing it will sanction airlines that arranged special deals to fly the migrants into Belarus in recent months. The announcement comes after European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen accused Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko of engineering the migrant surge as part of a “hybrid attack” against the EU...

Conflict Analysis & Prevention

Russia’s ambassador to the U.S., Anatoly Antonov, said the United States has asked 24 Russian diplomats to leave the country when their visas expire in September. The move comes shortly after the U.S. embassy in Moscow was forced to lay off dozens of Russian nationals working at...

Global Policy

President Biden’s high-stakes summit with Russian President Vladimir Putin is expected to be dominated by friction over Russian-linked cyberattacks, election interference and human rights abuses and what U.S. officials see as a meddlesome Kremlin foreign policy aimed at...

Global Policy

In style and rhetoric, the change is clear. But on policy, analysts say the “continuity” is undeniable. A stark difference in President Biden’s tone toward Russia has obscured the fact that on substantive matters, his approach thus far on many issues follows...

Global Policy

Climate change and cooperation among Arctic states are among the topics of discussion Thursday in Reykjavik, Iceland, as the Arctic Council holds a ministerial meeting. “We value our strong international cooperation through the Council to address...

Global Policy

Of the many cold-war disputes currently straining Biden administration relations with Russia, one is melting. Literally. Melting ice in the Arctic because of intense climate change has allowed Russia to push its military apparatus, complete with...

Conflict Analysis & Prevention