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Whither Cease-fire Talks After Hamas Kills 6 Israeli Hostages?

Whither Cease-fire Talks After Hamas Kills 6 Israeli Hostages?

Wednesday, September 4, 2024

Israeli soldiers’ discovery of six of their country’s hostages shot dead in a tunnel underneath Rafah, Gaza has placed the question of a cease-fire’s prospects in stark relief. Coming as the U.S. had already stepped up efforts to push for an Israel-Hamas agreement, the grim fate of the hostages can simultaneously be viewed as providing a catalyst for the urgent conclusion of a deal, or as a harbinger of diplomatic derailment for a process the U.S., Egypt and Qatar had been in the throes of pushing to resolution.

Type: Question and Answer

Conflict Analysis & PreventionPeace Processes

Israel-Hezbollah Contained Escalation Halts Concern Over Broader Mideast War

Israel-Hezbollah Contained Escalation Halts Concern Over Broader Mideast War

Thursday, August 29, 2024

For weeks, concerns over the risk of miscalculation or even intentional escalation between Israel and Hezbollah have dominated attention. Ramped up cross-border attacks between the two sides on Sunday, August 25 have left each side simultaneously claiming success “for now,” suggesting a much-feared larger conflagration may have been averted in the near term. However, implications for longer-term risk and mutual deterrence, Iran’s calculations for escalation, and linkage to the still-elusive Gaza cease-fire remain uncertain.

Type: Question and Answer

Conflict Analysis & Prevention

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