Once a U.S. colony and now a U.S. treaty ally, the Philippines sits at the heart of geopolitical contestation in East Asia. It is also home to a half-century old internal conflict that has long spawned transnational threats to global security.

Type: Fact Sheet

It’s been a decade since the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) and the Philippines government signed the Comprehensive Agreement on the Bangsamoro, which ended nearly 50 years of conflict in the southern Philippines. Despite setbacks and tensions along the way, implementation of the agreement has yielded notable successes in recent years — most notably the establishment of the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) in 2019 and, with it, an unprecedented period of relative peace and stability. However, the final months of 2024 have brought yet another twist in this long-standing struggle for peace in the Bangsamoro region.

Type: Analysis

Increasing scrutiny and exposure of global internet scams based in Southeast Asia has sparked fast-moving developments to quash the schemes and countermoves by the organized gangs behind them. Recent months have seen crackdowns, arrests and internet cutoffs by law enforcement agencies and regional governments. Meanwhile, Cambodia and Myanmar continue to be the most egregious havens for criminal operations, while Laos seems to be demonstrating early signs of concern for the impact of organized crime on its sovereignty.

Type: Analysis

China and the Philippines recently struck a secretive deal to deescalate confrontations over the Second Thomas Shoal, “one of the tensest flashpoints in the western Pacific,” says USIP’s Andrew Scobell. “Nobody wants to see it escalate to war,” but the “the ambiguity [of the deal] … allows both sides to claim victory.”

Type: Podcast