Analysis and Commentary
Key Takeaways
- Iran marks the anniversary of the Islamic revolution in February amid increasingly existential challenges at home and in relations with the outside world.
- For all Iran’s tough defiance and menacing policies, the regime seems more brittle than at any time since the revolution — especially as a leadership transition looms.
- On the 44th anniversary, the prospect of domestic reforms, nuclear diplomacy or better relations with the West appear, at best, quite remote.
Analysis and Commentary
Key Takeaways
- Russia, like most historic imperial powers, will need to be defeated militarily before it abandons war as a means to dominate its neighbors.
- Since Ukrainian victory is vital for future peace, the United States and its allies should move immediately to provide Ukraine the equipment it needs to win.
- While the West should maintain full support for Ukraine’s defense, such as the tanks much discussed this month, it should encourage negotiation toward specific goals.
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Key Takeaways
- Ongoing friction between India and China and India and Pakistan is threatening strategic stability in southern Asia.
- India, China and Pakistan are all expanding their nuclear arsenals and weapon systems, which should concern policymakers.
- All three are also drawing lessons from Russia’s actions in Ukraine — particularly as it relates to nuclear saber-rattling, which could intensify future clashes among the three.
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