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Mistrust and the Korean Peninsula: Dangers of Miscalculation

Mistrust and the Korean Peninsula: Dangers of Miscalculation

Friday, October 30, 1998

An unwillingness to challenge North Korea now with a more concerted diplomatic and deterrence policy, lest it precipitate a repeat of the 1994 crisis, risks being confronted later by a qualitatively different North Korean military threat. There is a significant danger of miscalculation: while previous North Korean induced crises have strengthened Pyongyang's negotiating leverage in general and perhaps the Korean People's Army's strong hold on power in particular, there is a serious risk that ...

Type: Special Report

"Trialogue": U.S.-Japan-China Relations and Asian-Pacific Stability

"Trialogue": U.S.-Japan-China Relations and Asian-Pacific Stability

Wednesday, September 30, 1998

The exchange of summits between the leaders of the People's Republic of China and the United States, the Asian financial crisis, and the decision by India and Pakistan to engage in nuclear testing have redirected the security agenda of the Asia-Pacific region. Such developments underscore the ongoing difficulties inherent in the transition from traditional approaches to security defined by the Cold War to a post-Cold War structure of international relations in the Asia-Pacific.

Type: Special Report

Croatia After Tudjman

Croatia After Tudjman

Sunday, August 30, 1998

Recognizing that Bosnia cannot exist as a viable, democratic state unless it is embedded in a region that is itself stable and democratic, the Institute has begun a Bosnia in the Balkans Initiative to explore the prospects for regional political and economic development.  The Balkans Working Group on "Croatia After Tudjman" met in order to understand longer term factors that might affect regional stability.  The recent meeting on Croatia is one component of this work, which has included separ...

Type: Special Report

Kosovo: Escaping the Cul-de-Sac

Kosovo: Escaping the Cul-de-Sac

Thursday, July 30, 1998

The United States Institute of Peace hosted a second meeting of its Bosnia Working Group to discuss the unfolding crisis in Kosovo. Participants were asked to provide recommendations for how the negotiating process could achieve a viable and acceptable outcome for all parties to the conflict. In addition, members of the working group were asked to critique the international community's role in attempting to mediate, resolve, and simply contain the conflict.

Type: Special Report

NGOs and Peacebuilding in Bosnia's Ethnically Divided Cities

NGOs and Peacebuilding in Bosnia's Ethnically Divided Cities

Thursday, June 25, 1998

This report begins with an overview of the political boundaries in many of Bosnia's municipalities that have prevented postconflict reconstruction and reconciliation. The next section describes effective and ineffective strategies among aid donors and humanitarian-relief NGOs operating in these locales, followed by a case study of successful grassroots programs in the city of Gornji Vakuf. The report concludes with recommendations for NGOs and donor organizations.

Type: Special Report

Between Impediment and Advantage: Saddam's Iraq

Between Impediment and Advantage: Saddam's Iraq

Monday, June 1, 1998

The report represents work in progress and summarizes the main points made during two public discussions about the nature of domestic politics in Iraq under Saddam.  This analysis provides a useful backdrop to the ongoing conflict with Iraq and is intended to help interested observers understand the significance of Saddam Hussain in Iraqi politics and the forces with which he grapples as he makes decisions about compliance with international demands.

Type: Special Report

Beyond The Asian Financial Crisis: Challenges and Opportunities for U.S. Leadership

Beyond The Asian Financial Crisis: Challenges and Opportunities for U.S. Leadership

Thursday, April 30, 1998

Following two decades of rapid growth, social change, and industrialization, the countries of the East Asian region are experiencing their first regionwide economic crisis. The immediate economic causes of Asia's financial crisis--especially unsustainable short-term foreign debt incurred by the private sector and exposed by the sudden devaluation of overvalued local currencies--have been identified. The challenges for U.S. leadership in response to the region's current financial crisis are to...

Type: Special Report

EnvironmentEconomics