Since the emergence of Xi Jinping as China’s top leader in 2012, China and Russia have strengthened their relations militarily, technologically, economically and diplomatically. Nevertheless, these two great powers do not have identical interests and perspectives. USIP analyzes the challenge each presents to U.S. national security interests and to global peace.

Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping stand during the signing of a gas deal in Shanghai, May 21, 2014. (Alexei Druzhinin/RIA Novosti/Pool via The New York Times)
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping stand during the signing of a gas deal in Shanghai, May 21, 2014. (Alexei Druzhinin/RIA Novosti/Pool via The New York Times)

China and Russia pose an array of overlapping yet differentiated set of challenges to world peace. What are China’s interests and perspectives on matters of statecraft and warfare? What are Russia’s interests and perspectives? What are the challenges each great power poses and how do they manifest? Where do their interests align and where do they diverge? This project explores Chinese and Russian interests and perspectives on topics including diplomacy, crisis management, deterrence, as well as war and peace.

Publications

Ukraine’s deputy foreign minister, Yevhen Perebyinis, received copies of credentials from Ma Shengkun, China’s newly appointed ambassador to Ukraine. (Ukraine Ministry of Foreign Affairs)

China and Ukraine: Pulling Its Weight with Russia or Potemkin Peacemaker?

In November 2024, China’s ambassador, Ma Shengkun, presented his credentials at Ukraine’s Foreign Ministry. While a diplomatic reshuffle was due, the timing of the turnover and the selection of Ma, in tandem with other recent developments, suggest that China discerns a gradual gathering of momentum for a peace process or truce talks.

A Ukrainian army vehicle in the Kursk region of Russia, Aug. 12, 2024. North Korean soldiers have arrived in Kursk, where they are expected to support Moscow’s efforts to dislodge invading Ukrainian forces. (David Guttenfelder/The New York Times)

North Korean Troops in Russia Show Putin Is Doubling Down on Ukraine War

After signing a mutual defense pledge in June, 2024, North Korea and Russia relations appear to be deepening. USIP’s Mary Glantz, Frank Aum, Carla Freeman and Naiyu Kuo explain what this demonstrates about Russia’s strategy in Ukraine, what it means for dynamics on the Korean Peninsula and how China perceives this development.

Amid the Ukraine war, President Vladimir Putin of Russia and Chinese leader Xi Jinping have led their countries to a more durable strategic alignment in recent years.

Ukraine: The Inflection Point in the China-Russia Axis

The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has catalyzed a profound shift in global power dynamics: the deepening of the partnership between China and Russia. The Institute for Security and Development Policy's Niklas Swanström and USIP's Andrew Scobell look at why this relationship, while rooted in history, represents a significant departure from previous patterns of cooperation.