Ukraine-Russia Conflict Colors View of Civic Roles in Central Asia

Ukraine-Russia Conflict Colors View of Civic Roles in Central Asia

Tuesday, December 23, 2014

By: Hanne Bursch

Ukraine and the countries of Central Asia wouldn’t seem to have much in common other than their former Soviet past. But post-Soviet Russian ambitions may be linking them in unexpected ways. The outcome of Ukraine’s current effort to consolidate its democracy, against Russia’s resistance, has ramifications for whether the Central Asian countries view civil society and democracy as a driver of instability or a force for reform.  

Type: Analysis and Commentary

How to Beat a Russian Occupation with Flash Mobs

How to Beat a Russian Occupation with Flash Mobs

Thursday, April 10, 2014

By: Maciej Bartkowski

As separatists in eastern Ukraine stage demonstrations and occupy government buildings, calling for Russian annexation, there is renewed anxiety about the 40,000 Russian troops massed along the border. The prospect of Russian incursion raises the question of how Ukrainians -- outnumbered, outgunned, and more than likely unsupported by Western militaries -- might be able to resist. Though there have been murmurs of Moscow's troops being met with a guerilla campaign, Ukrainians best hope for ch...

Type: Analysis and Commentary

Conflict Analysis & Prevention

America the Gentle Giant

America the Gentle Giant

Wednesday, April 2, 2014

By: Kristin Lord;  Stephen J. Hadley

Vladimir Putin's cynical efforts to annex Crimea and intimidate the fledgling government of Ukraine make it all too clear that naked aggression in world affairs is not a thing of the past. The United States and its allies must respond firmly when such aggression occurs. But there are other perhaps less dramatic instances of resorting to force of arms. These include unresolved disputes between states -- or ethnic, tribal, and religious disputes within states -- that degenerate into armed confl...

Type: Analysis and Commentary

Conflict Analysis & Prevention

When Sanctions Aren't Enough

When Sanctions Aren't Enough

Monday, March 31, 2014

By: Ambassador William B. Taylor;  John E. Herbst ;  Steven Pifer

It should be clear now that the West has a Russian security problem. Twice in the last six years, the Kremlin has seized territory in a neighboring country on the grounds of protecting minorities or ethnic Russians and Russian speakers. In each instance, the rejoinder from the West proved to be inadequate. Now, this threat demands a broad response that goes beyond the steps taken to date, that will deter the Kremlin from further aggression.

Type: Analysis and Commentary

Conflict Analysis & Prevention

The Big Chill

The Big Chill

Wednesday, March 26, 2014

By: Ambassador William B. Taylor;  John E. Herbst ;  Steven K. Pifer

The sanctions that were placed on Bank Rossiya on Friday, March 21, have sent shock waves through Russian business and financial circles. In the intervening days, hundreds of thousands of Russians have lost access to Visa and MasterCard services. Russian oligarchs have stopped boasting that they are on the U.S. blacklist as international bankers and have begun to shy away from their businesses -- and their access to credit dried up while their stock prices tumbled. Russian owners of mining, m...

Type: Analysis and Commentary

Conflict Analysis & PreventionMediation, Negotiation & Dialogue

Can a Source of Conflict Be Turned Into a Unifier Instead?

Can a Source of Conflict Be Turned Into a Unifier Instead?

Thursday, March 20, 2014

By: Peter Weinberger

One of the first things the Ukrainian parliament did after the ouster of President Viktor Yanukovych last month was to repeal a law that allowed regional authorities to adopt Russian as a second official language after Ukrainian. The acting president understood the potential of the repeal to inflame tensions and vetoed the measure, but the moves highlight a larger question: what is the precise role of language in ethnic and national conflicts? Is language a driver of conflict, or is that merely a symptom of political and economic grievances?

Type: Analysis and Commentary

Conflict Analysis & Prevention

From Détente to Meltdown

From Détente to Meltdown

Thursday, March 20, 2014

By: Daniel Brumberg

As "self-defense forces" storm Ukrainian bases in Crimea and Russian President Vladimir Putin embraces the peninsula's return to the Russian Motherland, Moscow's adventurism is creating a dangerous ripple effect far beyond the cold shores of Crimea. With Russia, the United States, and Europe dancing around the abyss of a new Cold War, Moscow's cooperation in resolving other international disputes will be severely tested. The first casualty of the Crimea debacle could be the ongoing efforts of...

Type: Analysis and Commentary

Conflict Analysis & Prevention