Political turmoil, corruption, and extremist violence often originate in fragile states, those where government lacks either the capability or the legitimacy to provide for its people. On June 6, the Conflict Resolution and Prevention Forum held a discussion at the U.S. Institute of Peace on select factors that undermine the ability of countries to withstand shocks, and a review of case studies that can guide policy in addressing key weaknesses.

The annual Fragile States Index, released in May by the Fund for Peace, documented the trend of worsening fragility. USIP in 2016 drew a spotlight to the links among state fragility, violent conflict and sustainable peace, with the release of a report by the Fragility Study Group. This event represents USIP’s continuing research and analysis on fragile states. 

The panelists discussed strategies and successes in the drive to turn the tide. The experts explored structural fragilities in the Sahel; civil society and gender in fragile states; the connection between fragility and violence; and how development, diplomacy and defense officials and their organizations intersect, in case studies from the Lake Chad Region, Burma and Jordan. 

This discussion is part of the Conflict Prevention and Resolution Forum, a consortium of seven Washington-area organizations, including USIP. They have worked since 1999 to share ideas from across disciplines that can improve the ability to manage conflicts and prevent violence.

A recording of this event is available on this event page. 

Speakers

Madeline Rose
Senior Policy Advisor, Mercy Corps 

Sanam Naraghi-Anderlini
Executive Director, International Civil Society Action Network 

Vivian Lowery Derryck 
President and CEO, The Bridges Institute 

Beth Cole
Special Advisor, Violent Extremism, Conflict and Fragility, USIP

Patricia Taft, Moderator
Programs Director, Fund for Peace

Related Publications

Myanmar’s Collapsing Military Creates a Crisis on China’s Border

Myanmar’s Collapsing Military Creates a Crisis on China’s Border

Thursday, April 11, 2024

By: Jason Tower

Operation 1027 — an offensive launched in October 2023 by an alliance of three ethnic armed organizations (EAOs) against the military junta in Myanmar — has disrupted hundreds of forced labor scam syndicates operating under the protection of Myanmar’s army, dented the army’s image of invincibility and decimated the lucrative China-Myanmar border trade. A second operation launched on March 7 by another EAO in Kachin State has compounded China’s economic woes by adding to the impact on trade.

Type: Analysis

Global Policy

How a Fractured Myanmar is Navigating U.S.-China Rivalry

How a Fractured Myanmar is Navigating U.S.-China Rivalry

Wednesday, April 3, 2024

By: Phyu Hnin

As the rivalry between the United States and China intensifies, Southeast Asian countries have been forced to navigate this growing power competition. The challenge has proven formidable even for those with strong governance and stability. For Myanmar — where a civil conflict between the ruling military junta and a loose alliance of resistance groups recently entered its fourth year — developing a cohesive approach to navigating U.S.-China competition might seem unattainable and unimportant in the current moment.

Type: Analysis

Conflict Analysis & PreventionGlobal Policy

Myanmar: New Data Show Wide Support for Unity Government

Myanmar: New Data Show Wide Support for Unity Government

Thursday, February 29, 2024

By: Jangai Jap, Ph.D.;  Amy H. Liu, Ph.D.

The three-month offensive by Myanmar’s alliance of disparate ethnic armed groups has weakened the military regime more than at any time since it seized power three years ago. This highlights a question for international policymakers: Could the anti-coup forces stabilize Myanmar? New public opinion data bolsters evidence that the National Unity Government (NUG) — which combines representatives elected in the 2020 election and ethnic minority leaders — has a solid basis to lead such an effort, holding strong popular support across Myanmar’s numerous ethnic groups. Such stabilization will depend on the NUG’s ability to deepen its inclusivity and responsiveness and broaden its political coalition.

Type: Analysis

Democracy & Governance

Myanmar’s Fateful Conscription Law

Myanmar’s Fateful Conscription Law

Monday, February 26, 2024

By: Ye Myo Hein

Earlier this month, Myanmar’s ruling junta enacted a compulsory conscription law that had been dormant since 2010. General Guan Maw, a leader of the Kachin Independence Organization, greeted the junta's decision by comparing it to the 2021 military coup: "If February 1, 2021, was the beginning of the end, the law enforced on February 10, 2024, can be said to mark the end of the end.” As popular reactions to the new conscription plan roll out across the country, General Guan Maw’s pronouncement becomes increasingly prescient.

Type: Analysis

Conflict Analysis & Prevention

View All Publications