When Rufus Phillips III passed away in December 2021, America lost one of its most creative foreign policy thinkers. What made Phillips unique was his 60-year observation of state fragility, starting with his work alongside Edward Lansdale in the 1950s in the Philippines and Vietnam and continuing in El Salvador, Colombia, Iraq and Afghanistan. In all these conflicts, he insisted that there was no amount of force or funding that could supersede a lack of political will on the part of the supported state, and that U.S. efforts should start with helping to nurture that will, generally behind the scenes and at times by staying out of the way.

Phillips worked until his last days to argue for a new approach to failed and fragile states, believing strongly that the issue was crucial for a more stable and humane world order. His final book, “Stabilizing Fragile States: Why It Matters and What to Do About It,” was published posthumously in April. 

The timing of the book’s publication coincided with the launch of the U.S. Strategy to Prevent Conflict and Promote Stability — a U.S. government initiative meant to take the Global Fragility Act (GFA) to the next level. Phillips believed strongly in the GFA’s core premise that improving state stability is a vital national security interest of the United States, and his book offers a new approach to organizing and staffing to manage cases of state fragility and bring nations back to a place of societal and political vitality.  

On May 10, USIP held a discussion of Phillips’ legacy, how insights from his final book can help inform the implementation of the GFA, and the future of U.S. efforts to address state fragility.

Take part in the conversation on Twitter with #PhillipsFragileStates.

Speakers

H.R. McMaster
Fouad and Michelle Ajami Senior Fellow, Hoover Institution; Former U.S. National Security Advisor

Max Boot
Jeane J. Kirkpatrick Senior Fellow for National Security Studies, Council on Foreign Relations 

Roger Myerson
David L. Pearson Distinguished Service Professor of Global Conflict Studies, University of Chicago

Keith Mines, moderator
Director, Latin America Program, U.S. Institute of Peace
 

Latest Publications

Examining Conflict Dynamics in Papua New Guinea

Examining Conflict Dynamics in Papua New Guinea

Monday, March 27, 2023

By: John Cox;  Melissa Demian;  Miranda Forsyth;  Joshua Goa;  Dennis Kuiai;  Dora Kuir-Ayius;  Dunstan Lawihin;  Michael Main;  Gordon Peake, Ph.D. (editor);  Nayahamui Rooney;  Almah Tararia;  Zuabe Tinning

In 2022, Papua New Guinea was designated as one of five priority countries or regions under the U.S. Strategy to Prevent Conflict and Promote Stability. USIP assembled a study group of senior officials and scholars to provide input on the guiding principles for a strategy to support US efforts to increase stability in the country.

Type: Discussion Paper

Conflict Analysis & Prevention

Andrew Cheatham on the 2023 Summit for Democracy

Andrew Cheatham on the 2023 Summit for Democracy

Monday, March 27, 2023

By: Andrew Cheatham

As leaders gather for the Biden administration’s second democracy summit later this week, the president is working to “really push back on China’s offer” of narrow economic partnerships by “trying to make the case that you need the principles of democracy to have a good economy,” says USIP’s Andrew Cheatham.

Type: Podcast

Taiwan and the United States Share Key Interests in the North Pacific

Taiwan and the United States Share Key Interests in the North Pacific

Monday, March 27, 2023

By: Camilla Pohle-Anderson

In September 2022, USIP published a report on “China’s Influence on the Freely Associated States of the Northern Pacific,” which consist of the Federated States of Micronesia, the Republic of the Marshall Islands and the Republic of Palau. “China’s engagement in these countries threatens [U.S.] interests both locally and in the broader Pacific region,” said the preface to the report, which makes the case that strengthening U.S. relations with the Freely Associated States (FAS) is essential to secure U.S. interests and prevent China from increasing its influence in the region. This Senior Study Group report largely focuses on the interests of the United States, China and the FAS, but also has significant implications for Taiwan.

Type: Analysis and Commentary

Global Policy

Un enfoque bipartidista estadounidense sobre Venezuela es posible – y necesario

Un enfoque bipartidista estadounidense sobre Venezuela es posible – y necesario

Thursday, March 9, 2023

By: Juan Cruz;  Mark Feierstein

A pesar del gobierno dividido en Washington (ejecutivo demócrata y legislativo republicano), hay un amplio espacio para la acción bipartidista en la política exterior de Estados Unidos. Hacerle control a los avances de China y apoyar a Ucrania contra Rusia encabezan la lista, pero la principal oportunidad para que republicanos y demócratas trabajen juntos puede estar en Venezuela, donde las elecciones presidenciales del próximo año ofrecen la mejor oportunidad en años para una apertura democrática.

Type: Analysis and Commentary

Global Policy

Xi and Putin Flaunt Deepening Ties, Flout the U.S.-led Order

Xi and Putin Flaunt Deepening Ties, Flout the U.S.-led Order

Friday, March 24, 2023

By: Heather Ashby, Ph.D.;  Mary Glantz, Ph.D.;  Jennifer Staats, Ph.D.;  Andrew Scobell, Ph.D.

Thirteen months after Russia’s illegal invasion of Ukraine, Moscow and Beijing are continuing to deepen their ties even as China has sought to portray itself as a neutral player in the war. This week’s summit between Chinese Communist Party leader Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin comes on the heels of the International Criminal Court’s warrant for Putin for war crimes. For Putin, the summit demonstrated that despite Western sanction and opprobrium, Russia is not an isolated pariah state. Meanwhile, Xi used the summit to further the image he has tried to burnish of Beijing as a peacemaker and advance his vision of an alternative multilateral order, breaking away from the U.S.-led system.

Type: Analysis and Commentary

Global Policy

View All Publications