This event is part of a series highlighting themes from “Imagine: Reflections on Peace,” a multimedia exhibit from USIP and The VII Foundation that explores the challenges of peacebuilding through an immersive look at societies that suffered — and survived — violent conflict.

As Lebanon contends with cascading humanitarian, economic and political crises, the May 2022 parliamentary elections offered a glimmer of hope with the success of an unprecedented number of reform-minded candidates. Yet, the country is still grappling with the consequences of an imperfect peace that began with the 1989 Ta’if Accord, which ended a 15-year civil war. This flawed peace continues to resonate both internally and throughout the region.

On June 16, USIP hosted a discussion on whether Lebanon’s 2022 elections can initiate a drive for reforms aimed at Lebanon’s entrenched and corrupt political system — or if the still-fragile country might fall deeper into crisis and political gridlock. The conversation also looked at the full kaleidoscope of regional realignments, crises and power vacuums surrounding Lebanon, such as how tensions between Israel and Hezbollah (and by extension Iran) will evolve if efforts to revive the JCPOA fail, the prospects for renewed Saudi engagement in Lebanon, and what Russia’s potentially changing relationship with the region — particularly in Syria — means for Lebanon’s future.

Continue the conversation on Twitter with #LebanonCrossroads.

Speakers

Paul Salem
President, Middle East Institute

David Schenker
Taube Senior Fellow; Director, Program on Arab Politics, The Washington Institute for Near East Policy

Mona Yacoubian
Senior Advisor, U.S. Institute of Peace

Ambassador Hesham Youssef, moderator
Senior Fellow, U.S. Institute of Peace 

Related Publications

Could the Israel-Lebanon Maritime Border Deal be a Game-Changer?

Could the Israel-Lebanon Maritime Border Deal be a Game-Changer?

Thursday, October 13, 2022

By: Robert Barron;  Mona Yacoubian;  Ambassador Hesham Youssef

Israel, Lebanon and the United States announced this week that a deal has been reached between Israel and Lebanon on each country’s maritime border. Negotiations between the parties over the 330-square-miles of the Mediterranean Sea have proceeded with stops and starts since 2020, but over the past few months edged toward a mutually acceptable outcome. Under the agreement, the contested waters will be divided by a line straddling the “Qana” natural gas field. Both parties would be able to produce gas on their side of the line, in addition to royalty arrangements agreed upon. A buoy line will remain between the two countries.

Type: Analysis and Commentary

EconomicsPeace Processes

Amid Historic Crisis, Has a New Hope Emerged in Lebanon?

Amid Historic Crisis, Has a New Hope Emerged in Lebanon?

Thursday, June 23, 2022

By: Adam Gallagher

As Lebanon suffers from an historic economic crisis propelled by the venality of its political establishment, the May 15 elections have injected a glimmer of hope amid gloomy prospects for the future. Thirteen independent candidates — part of what is dubbed the “change opposition” — won seats in the 128-member Parliament. “The election of these 13 MPs [members of Parliament] is a very important, gradual first step toward more peaceful political change and reform in Lebanon,” said Mona Yacoubian, a Lebanon expert and senior advisor for the U.S. Institute of Peace. But the road ahead is fraught with internal challenges and external forces that could impede Lebanon’s much-needed reform.

Type: Analysis and Commentary

Democracy & Governance

Lebanon’s Election Offers Lessons for Now and the Future

Lebanon’s Election Offers Lessons for Now and the Future

Wednesday, June 8, 2022

By: Dr. Elie Abouaoun

As the minister of interior announced the results of Lebanon’s May 15 legislative elections, speculation began about whether or not the configuration of the new parliament foretold a brighter future for the tormented country. While some of the results indicate positive breakthroughs and progress, there are several nuances indicating that much greater change is still needed to put the country on a steady path to recovery.

Type: Analysis and Commentary

Democracy & Governance

View All Publications