Measuring Progress in Conflict Environments (MPICE)

A Metrics Framework for Assessing Conflict Transformation and Stabilization

March 2008 | Working Paper

The purpose of this project is to establish a system of metrics that will assist in formulating policy and implementing strategic plans to transform conflict and bring stability to war-torn societies. These metrics provide both a baseline assessment tool for policymakers to diagnose potential obstacles to stabilization prior to an intervention and an instrument for practitioners to track progress from the point of intervention through stabilization and ultimately to a self-sustaining peace. This metrics system is designed to identify potential sources of continuing violent conflict and instability and to gauge the capacity of indigenous institutions to overcome them. The intention is to enable policymakers to establish realistic goals, bring adequate resources and authorities to bear, focus their efforts strategically, and enhance prospects for attaining an enduring peace.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Purpose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Stages of Conflict Transformation and Stabilization . . . . . . . . 4
Methodologies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
Political Moderation and Stable Democracy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7
    Drivers of Conflict . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
    Institutional Performance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10
Safe and Secure Environment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .15
    Drivers of Conflict . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
    Institutional Performance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20
Rule of Law . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
    Drivers of Conflict . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
    Institutional Performance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  28
Sustainable Economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
    Drivers of Conflict . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35
    Institutional Performance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .38
Social well-being . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43
    Drivers of Conflict . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44
    Institutional Performance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .47

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