Assessing the Oil Deal between the Two Sudans

Assessing the Oil Deal between the Two Sudans
Photo Courtesy of NY Times

Word that Sudan and South Sudan had reached a deal over oil transit fees over the past weekend may trigger a new round of negotiations over other contentious issues between the two countries. But, we’ll see. USIP’s Jon Temin gives us some perspective.

Sudan and South Sudan reached a deal recently over the fees South Sudan would pay to Sudan to move oil from the oil-rich South through Sudan to northern ports.

The agreement ends a contentious period in which both sides appeared to be far apart from each other about how to pay the fees, with South Sudan wanting to pay as little as $1 per barrel, and Sudan demanding as much as $36 per barrel. In January, South Sudan had shut down oil production, throwing the economies of both countries into peril and raising fears that the violence along the shared border could expand.

But after a visit from Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, the two emerged with a deal to get oil flowing again. USIP's Jon Temin answers a few questions about what transpired.

A crisis seems to have been averted after the two Sudans reached a deal on oil pipeline transit fees. What's the significance of this?

It's an important achievement in negotiations that have been ongoing for about two years. Oil is the lifeblood of both economies, and each is suffering tremendously since South Sudan shut down its oil production. But this is only one piece in a larger puzzle of negotiations following the secession of South Sudan. There remain a host of unresolved issues – many of which relate to oil – such as the location of the border between the two countries, the status of the disputed Abyei territory and accusations that each country supports rebel movements operating in the other's territory.

What role did the AU's Thabo Mbeki play in mediating a deal between the two countries over pipeline fees?

The African Union High-Level Implementation Panel, chaired by President Mbeki, has been at the heart of the negotiations since they began. The panel is an innovative creation by the AU, and the oil agreement is its most important achievement to date. The panel operates in a difficult and sensitive environment, and at various stages has had strained relations with Juba and Khartoum, but deserves credit for its persistence and for sealing this deal. | Read the full Q & A


PHOTO: Assessing the Oil Deal between the Two Sudans

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PUBLICATION TYPE: Analysis