Economic Drivers in Fragile States Need More Attention in 2013, USIP Expert Says
Photo courtesy of NY Times

Failed economic overhauls, neglected small businesses and aid bureaucracies growing faster than their economies -- these are among the challenges this year after “modest gains” toward international goals for aid effectiveness in 2012, according to USIP expert Raymond Gilpin. Five key issues need to be addressed going forward in wielding economic tools effectively for advancing peace in countries facing violent conflict.

Gilpin, the director of USIP’s Sustainable Economies Center of Innovation, says there’s a “substantial” unfinished agenda as set out in the “New Deal for Engagement in Fragile States.” The plan was unveiled at the 4th High Level Forum on Aid Effectiveness on 30 November 2011 in Busan, South Korea, which was held to follow up on the 2005 Paris Declaration calling for increased efforts to ensure the massive sums spent each year in development assistance produces substantial results. A report for the Busan conference called progress since 2005 “sobering,” with only one of 13 targets for 2010 having been met. On economic aid, not much has changed since then, Gilpin says.

“Much more needs to be done in 2013 to improve our knowledge of the peace-economics nexus and to use economic levers to promote peace,” Gilpin writes.  In particular, he emphasizes steps such as reorienting economic fundamentals in societies affected by war, leveraging the business sector’s self-interest in economic progress and “unlocking entrepreneurship” by including local businesses.

“Foreign assistance should build economies, not bureaucracies,” he says. “Foreign assistance could be re-directed to focus a lot more on building viable ecosystems within which private enterprise could flourish.”

And to figure out what works and why, more needs to be done to measure the impact of economic reform approaches in countries affected by conflict.

Gilpin points to initiatives from previous years that could provide guidance from organizations including USIP, Mercy Corps, the Center for Global Development and Kay-Tek. In case you missed it, check out his full blog post at USIP’s International Network for Economics and Conflict.

And tell us what ideas you know of that could help accelerate progress through economics?

Related Publications

How ‘Traumatic Decarbonization’ Can Impact Political Stability and Peace

How ‘Traumatic Decarbonization’ Can Impact Political Stability and Peace

Wednesday, April 10, 2024

By: Aditya Sarkar;  Alex de Waal

The process of decarbonization — that is, the replacement of fossil fuels with non-hydrocarbon-based forms of energy — is essential for the world to meet its climate goals. But in many fragile oil-producing states, hydrocarbon revenues are not just central to national economies. They also bind together the political system through elite revenue-sharing pacts. The rapid, unplanned decarbonization of these countries would spark political crisis, a process known as “traumatic decarbonization.”

Type: Question and Answer

EnvironmentFragility & Resilience

Critical Minerals in Africa: Strengthening Security, Supporting Development, and Reducing Conflict amid Geopolitical Competition

Critical Minerals in Africa: Strengthening Security, Supporting Development, and Reducing Conflict amid Geopolitical Competition

Tuesday, April 9, 2024

By: USIP Senior Study Group on Critical Minerals in Africa

The United States Institute of Peace convened a senior study group to explore the role Africa plays in the United States’ efforts to diversify US critical mineral supply chains and how new investment in partnerships with African countries could help drive economic development and strengthen peace and security on the African continent. Based on meetings and interviews with relevant technical, operational, and policy experts, the study group developed multiple recommendations for the United States to support mutually beneficial public and private partnerships with African nations.

Type: Report

EconomicsEnvironmentGlobal Policy

Indonesia’s Nickel Bounty Sows Discord, Enables Chinese Control

Indonesia’s Nickel Bounty Sows Discord, Enables Chinese Control

Thursday, March 21, 2024

By: Brian Harding;  Kayly Ober

As the world moves toward cleaner forms of energy, specific minerals and metals that support this transition have become “critical.” Nickel — a major component used in electric vehicle (EV) batteries — is one such critical mineral. Demand for battery metals is forecast to increase 60-70 percent in the next two decades. This may be a boon for some. But in Indonesia, which produces more than half of the world’s nickel supply, it has led to political, environmental and ethical complications.

Type: Analysis

EnvironmentGlobal Policy

View All Publications