Daniel Brumberg

Senior Adviser, Center for Conflict Analysis and Prevention

Daniel Brumberg is Senior Adviser to the Center for Conflict Analysis and Prevention, where he focuses on issues of democratization and political reform in the Middle East and wider Islamic world. He is also an associate professor at Georgetown University and a former senior associate in the Carnegie Endowment’s Democracy and Rule of Law Project (2003-04).

Previously, he was a Jennings Randolph senior fellow at USIP, where he pursued a study of power sharing in the Middle East and Southeast Asia. Brumberg was a Mellon junior fellow at Georgetown University and a visiting fellow at the International Forum on Democratic Studies. He was a visiting professor in the Department of Political Science at Emory University and a visiting fellow in the Middle East Program in the Jimmy Carter Center, and has taught at the University of Chicago. Brumberg is the author of many articles on political and social change in the Middle East and wider Islamic world. With a grant from the MacArthur Foundation, he is currently working on a comparative study of power-sharing experiments in Algeria, Kuwait and Indonesia.

A member of the editorial board of the Journal of Democracy and the advisory board of the International Forum on Democratic Studies, Brumberg is also chairman of the nonprofit Foundation on Democratization and Political Change in the Middle East. He has worked closely with a number of nongovernmental organizations in the Arab world, including the Palestinian Academic Society for the Study of International Affairs. Brumberg is also a member of the editorial board of the American Political Science Association’s Political Science and Politics.

He received his B.A. from Indiana University and a Ph.D. from the University of Chicago.

Multimedia

Publications:

  • "Between Realism and Wilsonianism: The US and the Muslim World after Iraq," The Challenge of Islamists for EU and US Policies: Conflict, Stability and Reform." (SWP and USIP, November 2007).
  • "Beyond Liberalization?" Wilson Quarterly (Spring 2004).
  • Islam and Democracy in the Middle East, co-edited with Larry Diamond and Marc Plattner (Johns Hopkins University Press, 2003).
  • "Liberalization Versus Democracy: Understanding Arab Reform," Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Working Paper #37 (May 2003).
  • "End of a Brief Affair? The United States and Iran," Carnegie Policy Brief No. 14 (2002).
  • Reinventing Khomeini: The Struggle for Reform in Iran (2001).

Publications & Tools

Tunisian Debate Over Islam, Rights in Constitution Illustrated at USIP Event
May 2013 | News Feature by USIP Staff

A deputy in Tunisia’s National Constituent Assembly takes on criticisms from Human Rights Watch as the country considers a third draft of its constitution.

Countries: Tunisia | Issue Areas: Political Reform, Rule of Law
March 2013 | News Feature by Viola Gienger

Tunisian officials are running out of time to address the country’s biggest political and economic challenges since the 2011 revolution and restore the quickly-eroding trust of its citizens, several academic leaders said during a visit to Washington organized by the U.S. Institute of Peace, a Georgetown University program and the Project on Middle East Democracy.

Countries: Tunisia | Issue Areas: Conflict Analysis and Prevention
February 2013 | Olive Branch Post by Daniel Brumberg

USIP’s Daniel Brumberg explores two broad challenges that former Senator John Kerry faces during his first trip as secretary of state.

February 2013 | News Feature by Viola Gienger

USIP’s continuing series on “sleeper risks” looks at how King Abdullah is facing challenges to his legitimacy from a broader coalition of groups than the high-profile opposition from the Muslim Brotherhood. Economic protests could create a hair-trigger scenario exacerbated by frustration among the monarch’s traditional base.

January 2013 | News Feature by USIP Staff

A new strategic landscape is emerging in the Middle East as authoritarian states such as Russia and China attempt to use the upheaval of the Arab Spring to increase their regional influence and strengthen their efforts to pose a counterweight to U.S. power and Western norms on democracy and human rights, USIP’s Daniel Brumberg and Steven Heydemann said at a public forum on January 29.

January 2013 | On the Issues by Daniel Brumberg

USIP’s Dan Brumberg considers the potential for al-Qaida’s growth in North Africa, and the challenge this poses to U.S. relationships with the new, post-conflict governments in the region.

November 2012

On November 5, USIP convened a panel of experts to discuss the array of difficulties in restructuring military, police and intelligence agencies that persist after the initial optimism with demise of previous regimes.

October 2012 | Special Report by Dan Brumberg and Hesham Sallam

By building a strong coalition around the need to reform Egypt’s military and interior ministry, Egypt’s political groups can move toward the critical goal of subordinating its military and security establishment to civilian authority.

Countries: Egypt | Issue Areas: Security Sector Reform/Governance
June 2012 | News Brief by Steven Ruder

A group of Iran analysts previewed their latest research findings in a discussion at the U.S. Institute of Peace co-sponsored by the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars on June 27, 2012. Drawn from USIP’s Iran Internal Politics Study Group, six scholars looked at the recent dramatic changes in Iran’s political system and offered their take on what these changes mean for the country, its reform movement, and the United States.

NYT
June 2012 | On the Issues by Dan Brumberg

Daniel Brumberg of the U.S. Institute of Peace examines important developments in Egypt’s transition.

June 2012 | On the Issues by Daniel Brumberg

USIP’s Dan Brumberg looks at the results of Egypt’s recent presidential election and what it suggests about the country’s post-conflict progress.

May 2012 | On the Issues by Dan Brumberg

USIP’s Daniel Brumberg discusses the significance of Egypt’s election for the country and the region.

Catherine Ashton
April 2012 | On the Issues by Daniel Brumberg

Daniel Brumberg looks at the outcomes of the April 14 "P5+1" talks with Iran in Istanbul.

Countries: Iran | Issue Areas: Negotiation and Diplomacy
April 2012 | On the Issues by Daniel Brumberg

Talks between Iran and a group known as the P5 plus 1 (the five United Nations Security Council permanent members plus Germany) on Iran’s nuclear programs are expected to begin on April 14 in Istanbul, Turkey. The resumption of negotiations might represent an important juncture in the long saga of international efforts to restrain and verify the nature of Iran’s nuclear efforts, which Tehran contends is intended to develop energy sources and conduct research but which the United States and other key international players suspect is a bid to develop the capability to produce nuclear weapons.

March 2012 | News Feature by Tara Sonenshine

The Commonwealth of Virginia continues to expand as a center of innovation for peacebuilding activities to strengthen the capabilities of the U.S. military and civilian corps to work together around the world. Across Virginia, from the Pentagon to the peacebuilding academies, from workshops at universities to grants to practitioners, USIP is working closely to build partnerships.

March 2012

A panel discussion hosted by USIP and the Reserve Officers Association Capitol Hill with USIP experts and the foreign affairs correspondent for The Wall Street Journal.

March 2012

The uprising started last year, along with other “Arab Spring” revolutions taking place in Middle East and North African nations. But by far, the Syrian government’s response has become the most deadly and most brutal. The United Nations estimates that more than 8,000 people have been killed since the revolution started last March.

March 2012 | On the Issues by Dan Brumberg

As tensions between Iran and Israel heat up, and with the announcement that world powers will resume nuclear talks with Iran, USIP’s Dan Brumberg assesses the latest state of play, and whether the use of force is inevitable.

February 2012 | On the Issues by Daniel Brumberg

Daniel Brumberg is senior adviser to USIP’s Center for Conflict Analysis and Prevention, where he focuses on issues of democratization and political reform in the Middle East and wider Islamic world. He is also an associate professor at Georgetown University. He was previously a Jennings Randolph senior fellow at the Institute.

(NYT PHOTO)
December 2011 | On the Issues by Daniel Brumberg

Daniel Brumberg, a senior adviser in USIP’s Center for Conflict Management, analyzes the implications of Egypt’s ongoing parliamentary elections, which began this week.

December 2011 | News Feature by Thomas Omestad

Next year’s parliamentary elections in Iran have intensified infighting among its conservative elites amid moves by the Islamic Republic’s supreme leader to tighten control of the political system, a panel of Iran specialists concluded at the United States Institute of Peace (USIP) on Nov. 18.

November 2011 | News Feature by Thomas Omestad

The Arab Spring may ultimately foster Arab-Israeli peace efforts if those populist uprisings lead to stable democracies, but in the short run these history-making events are more likely to inhibit steps toward peace. That note of caution emerged from several panelists at a Nov. 2 session on “Arab World Transitions”—part of a day-long conference co-sponsored by the United States Institute of Peace (USIP) and the James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy at Rice University.

(NYT PHOTO)
November 2011 | On the Issues by Daniel Brumberg

This week, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) is scheduled to release a report on the status of Iran’s nuclear weapons program. USIP’s Dan Brumberg discusses the possible impact of the report.

(NYT PHOTO)
October 2011 | On the Issues by Daniel Brumberg

Dan Brumberg, Senior Adviser for the Center for Conflict Management discusses the recent democratic elections in Tunisia.

Prevention Newsletter September 2011
September 2011

The September 2011 Prevention Newsletter features a spotlight on the Korean Peninsula: After more than two years of "strategic patience" exercised by Washington in not rushing into negotiations with North Korea, why did it convene a bilateral meeting in New York in late July?

July 2011

Read about USIP’s on-the-ground and region-specific work aimed at helping prevent conflict in Africa, the Middle East, South and Northeast Asia.

(NYT PHOTO)
May 2011 | News Feature by Daniel Brumberg

President Barack Obama’s May 19 speech presents an important evolution rather than a decisive break with U.S. Middle East policy, particularly as it regards the crucial question of democratic reform in the Middle East, says USIP expert Dan Brumberg.

May Prevention Newsletter
May 2011

The bimonthly Prevention Newsletter provides highlights of the Institute's conceptual and region specific work aimed at helping to prevent conflicts in Africa, the Middle East, South and Northeast Asia, and the special project on genocide prevention. It also provides Over the Horizon thinking on trends in different regions, as well as information about events, working groups and publications.

(NYT PHOTO)
May 2011 | News Feature by Thomas Omestad and Gordon Lubold

The mass protests seeking democracy and rule of law in the Arab world—amid the hope for change—have also produced an array of uncertainties, the likelihood of setbacks and the need for difficult policy choices by U.S. officials, the specialists addressing a United States Institute of Peace (USIP) conference on May 4 said. The event was co-hosted with Georgetown University.

(NYT PHOTO)
May 2011 | On the Issues by Daniel Brumberg

USIP’s Dan Brumberg discusses the Arab Spring and the implications for U.S. policy and U.S. policymakers.

March Prevention Newsletter
March 2011

The bimonthly Prevention Newsletter provides highlights of the Institute's conceptual and region specific work aimed at helping to prevent conflicts in Africa, the Middle East, South and Northeast Asia, and the special project on genocide prevention. It also provides Over the Horizon thinking on trends in different regions, as well as information about events, working groups and publications.

February 2011 | News Feature by Tara Sonenshine

The U.S. Institute of Peace continues to follow the developments in Egypt and the Middle East.  Read about USIP's work on Christian-Muslim relations in the Middle East, work on national security issues, democratization, and more.

February 2011

Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak has resigned on Feb. 11 after weeks of peaceful protests. USIP takes a comprehensive look at the situation and its implications.

January 2011 | On the Issues by Daniel Brumberg

USIP’s Dan Brumberg provides updated analysis of the current crisis in Egypt. Are there parrallels between Iran’s Green Revolution and the protest in Tunisia? Will Egypt's military take a side?

January 2011 | On the Issues by Dan Brumberg

USIP expert Dan Brumberg previews the upcoming talks with Iran and provides background on the current situation.

January 2011

The bimonthly Prevention Newsletter provides highlights of the Institute's conceptual and region specific work aimed at helping to prevent conflicts in Africa, the Middle East, South and Northeast Asia, and the special project on genocide prevention. It also provides Over the Horizon thinking on trends in different regions, as well as information about events, working groups and publications.

December 2010 | News Feature by Daniel Brumberg

Daniel Brumberg, Senior Adviser at USIP's Center for Conflict Analysis and Prevention, offers analysis on the "Iran-P5+1" talks held in Geneva, Switzerland on December 6-7, 2010.

November 2010

Facilitated by the U.S. Institute of Peace and the Stimson Center, "Engagement, Coercion, and Iran's Nuclear Challenge" is the culmination of recommendations from a distinguished group of more than 40 scholars and policy analysts, who met regularly over the past year to evaluate how the U.S. should proceed in its strategy with the Islamic Republic of Iran.

September 2010

The bimonthly Prevention Newsletter provides highlights of CAP's conceptual work, its region specific work aimed at helping to prevent conflicts in Africa, the Middle East, South and Northeast Asia, and the special projects on genocide prevention and nonproliferation. It also provides Over the Horizon thinking on trends in different regions, as well as CAP events, working groups and publications.

Cover of the USIP Prevention Newsletter. (Image: U.S. Institute of Peace)
July 2010

The bimonthly Prevention Newsletter provides highlights of CAP's conceptual work, its region specific work aimed at helping to prevent conflicts in Africa, the Middle East, South and Northeast Asia, and the special projects on genocide prevention and non-proliferation. It also provides Over the Horizon thinking on trends in different regions, as well as CAP events, working groups and publications.

Iranian President Ahmedinejad tours nuclear facility. (Photo: NY Times)
June 2010 | On the Issues by Dan Brumberg, George Lopez and Robin Wright

The United Nations Security Council on June 9 voted to impose a fourth round of sanctions on Iran, targeting conventional arms and the finances of 40 Iranian companies. The U.N. Security Council decision was not unanimous as two of the 15 nations on the council -- Brazil and Turkey – voted against the measure. Lebanon abstained. In an update to a May 20 “On the Issues,” USIP experts Robin Wright, Dan Brumberg and George Lopez provide different views on the U.N. vote and whether these sanctions can be effective.

Countries: Iran | Issue Areas: Political Reform
Cover (Image: U.S. Institute of Peace)
January 2010 | Working Paper by Daniel Brumberg

This Working Paper is the culmination of the work of the Study Group on Reform and Security.

December 2009 | by Daniel Brumberg

Brumberg discusses Afghanistan in his "On Faith" blog for the Washington Post.

August 2009 | Book by Daniel Brumberg and Dina Shehata, editors

Conflict, Identity, and Reform in the Muslim World highlights the challenges that escalating identity conflicts within Muslim-majority states pose for both the Muslim world and for the West, an issue that has received scant attention in policy and academic circles.  

Issue Areas: Political Reform
Protesters in Tehran, Iran on June 19, 2009 (Photo: NY Times)
June 2009 | On the Issues by Dan Brumberg, Steve Heydemann, Sheldon Himelfarb, Asieh Mir
Countries: Iran
US-Iranian Engagement - Working Paper (Image: USIP)
June 2009 | Working Paper by Daniel Brumberg and Eriks Berzins

On February 23, 2009, the Center for Conflict Analysis and Prevention of the United States Institute of Peace (USIP), together with the United Nations Association-USA and the Rockefeller Brothers Fund, held a roundtable discussion among top Middle East experts and former United States Government officials. Held at the Woodrow Wilson Center for International Scholars, the meeting’s purpose was to discuss prospects for creating a diplomatic framework through which the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran can address issues of common concern in the Middle East and South Asia, and in so doing, advance an engagement dynamic that might eventually open the doors for rapprochement between the two countries.

Countries: Iran | Issue Areas: Religion and Peacemaking
News coverage of President Barack Obama's message to the people of Iran plays on televisions displayed in a store in Manam, Bahrain, on Friday, March 20, 2009. Invoking art, history and "the common humanity that binds us," Obama offered a "new day" in Ame
April 2009 | On the Issues by Daniel Brumberg

Daniel Brumberg, acting director of USIP's Muslim World Initiative, discusses the recent meeting between senior U.S. officials and Iranian diplomats during an international conference at the Hague on March 31. This meeting represents the Obama administration's biggest step so far to reestablish dialogue with the Islamic Republic after 30 years of hostility.

Countries: Iran, United States | Issue Areas: Negotiation and Diplomacy
Iraq, its Neighbors, and the Obam Administration - Working Paper (Image: USIP)
February 2009 | Working Paper by U.S. Institute of Peace and The Stimson Center

Since 2004, USIP's "Iraq and its Neighbors" initiative has sponsored track II dialogues and ongoing research on relations between Iraq and its six immediate neighbors. As part of this work, the Institute--in partnership with the Stimson Center--sponsored a bipartisan, independent, and unofficial Study Mission to Syria and Saudi Arabia in mid-January 2009. The delegation met with a wide variety of leading political figures, businesspeople, NGOs and foreign policy experts in both countries, including President Bashar Assad of Syria and Prince Turki al-Faysal of Saudi Arabia.

May 2008 | Peace Brief by Kelly Campbell

The surprising success of Iran's "third way" movement in the March 2008 parliamentary elections may pose a significant challenge in the country's 2009 presidential election.

Countries: Iran
May 2007 | Peace Brief by Kelly Campbell

Western policy toward Iran relies heavily on economic pressure, and Iran's political trajectory is shaped in large part by its economic prospects and constraints. What is the state of the Iranian economy? The Iran Policy Forum tackled this question in their latest meeting.

Countries: Iran | Issue Areas: Economics and Conflict

Events

Human Rights in Tunisia’s Transition: A View from the Field
May 9, 2013

As Tunisia is led by a provisional government, how does the country rank on human rights, addressing political violence by intolerant groups, protecting freedom of expression and the rights of women and minorities, and writing a constitution that safeguards the rights of all Tunisians?

Countries: Tunisia | Issue Areas: Political Reform
March 20, 2013

Tunisia's 2010-11 “Jasmine Revolution” ignited a flame of political rebellion that quickly spread to Egypt, Yemen, Libya, Bahrain, and Syria. But as the "Arab Spring" enters its third season, Tunisia’s struggle for democracy is beset by escalating ideological and even violent conflicts. What are the key challenges facing Tunisia? How can U.S. officials and nongovernmental organizations help Tunisians address mounting domestic and regional crises?

Arab Perspectives on Iran’s Role in a Changing Middle East
February 21, 2013

While there is much talk of an “Arab” view of Iran, there are in fact significantly divergent views on Tehran’s role, even among rulers in the region. Additionally, despite the Sunni-Shiite divide, Arab public views of Iran and of its regional role are far more complex than—and often at odds with—the views of their leaders. This was the second in a five-part series co-sponsored by the United States Institute of Peace and the Wilson Center’s Middle East program on “The Changing Security Architecture in the Middle East.”

November 5, 2012

If the first season of the “Arab Uprisings” brought hope, the second season has illustrated many hard challenges, not least of which is restructuring the military, policy and intelligence services of Arab states. Even in Tunisia, where the military played a crucial role in supporting the “Jasmine Revolution,” the ultimate loyalty of the security services remains an open question. To examine this issue, USIP convened a panel of experts to discuss the institutional, economic and political challenges posed by the quest to remake security sectors into allies of pluralistic democratic change were discussed.

A poster of Ayatollah Ali Khameni in South Tehran, Iran, January 24, 2006. Photo courtesy New York Times.
June 27, 2012

The United States Institute of Peace, together with the Woodrow Wilson Center for International Scholars, will host six distinguished Iran analysts on June 27, 2012. Drawn from USIP’s Internal Iran Study Group co-chaired by Daniel Brumberg and Farideh Farhi, these scholars will consider a diverse range of political struggles now unfolding in Iran. Chairing this event will be Haleh Esfandiari, director of Middle East Programs at the Woodrow Wilson Center, who will also be joined by visiting Woodrow Wilson scholar Bernard Hourcade.

 

December 7, 2011

 USIP had an in-depth discussion with Katerina Dalacoura on the launch of her USIP-funded book titled Islamist Terrorism and Democracy in the Middle East on December 7th from 3-4:30 at Carnegie. 

November 18, 2011

Over the last six months, Iran has witnessed an escalating power struggle as conservatives of different ideological stripes and loyalties jockey for influence ahead of the March 2012 parliamentary elections.  On November 18, USIP hosted a distinguished panel of experts on these and other developments on the elections in Iran.

June 30, 2011

On June 30, 2011, the U.S. Institute of Peace hosted an international conference on Security Sector Transformation in North Africa and the Middle East. 

November 16, 2010

The U.S. faces important decisions as it prepares for talks with the Islamic Republic of Iran on its nuclear activities.  A distinguished group of 50+ scholars and policy analysts concluded that the U.S. should rebalance its approach to Iran, leveraging the gains achieved from sanctions by indicating a willingness to engage Iran diplomatically on a wide range of issues. The study group’s report is a broad prescription for rebalancing U.S. policy in a way that could increase the chances for success in the talks.

Countries: Iran | Issue Areas: Conflict Analysis and Prevention
(NYT)
October 20, 2010

A panel of experts, led by USIP's Daniel Brumberg, gathered to discuss the complicated relationship between Washington, Tehran and Jerusalem.


Courtesy VOA NEWS - Obama walks in front of the Cairo pyramids with Arab leaders
April 28, 2010

USIP, CSID, George Mason and ISESCO co-hosted this day-long conference examining America's relations with the Muslim world one year after President Obama's Cairo speech. 

Taken from nytimes.com.  This picture features Ahmadinejad giving a speech in front of an iranian flag emblazened with the nuclear symbol.
March 18, 2010

USIP grantee Dr. Boroujerdi will present the findings of his study on the Iranian political elite at this USIP and Wilson Center co-sponsored event.

AFP-Getty Images.  Iranians hold portraits of Iranian cleric Grand Ayatollah Hossein Ali Montazeri during his funeral procession in the holy city of Qom on December 21, 2009.
March 12, 2010

This USIP event examined the role of the clergy in Iran's political system both historically and as it relates to the Green Movement today.

Image via photobucket.com.  Women protest in Iran in green hijab.
February 1, 2010

USIP invited an expert panel to participate in a frank discussion of the conflict between the Iranian regime and the opposition and its implications for the Obama administration.

January 22, 2010

This USIP event examined the complex nexus between democratic change and U.S. security interests, with a principal focus on Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco and Yemen.

January 20, 2010

On the one-year anniversary of President Obama's inauguration, USIP and POMED invited a public audience to assess the Obama administration's first year and to examine the administration's oppurtunities to implement its vision of a new beginning with the Arab and Muslim world.

mosque (Photo: NY Times)
October 15, 2009

USIP's Daniel Brumberg joined a panel of guest speakers, including Congressman Keith Ellison, for a lively discussion of USIP's new volume "Conflict, Identity, and Reform in the Muslim World."

June 25, 2009

On June 12, Iran held an historic, and as it has turned out, highly contentious presidential election.  While the government  declared incumbent President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad the decisive winner, his challengers--led by Mir Hossein Mousavi--have accused the regime of massive voter fraud, thus setting up a unprecedented conflict between a regime and major segments of society. These developments come on the heels of efforts by the Obama administration to engage Iran.  USIP hosted a fascinating discussion of the implications of Iran's presidential election for  the country's domestic politics, and even more so, for the course (and fate) of  U.S.-Iranian engagement.

Countries: Iran, United States
Conspiracy of Silence book cover (Image: USIP Press)
June 18, 2009

Drawing on his newly published USIP volume, Conspiracy of Silence: The Insurgency in Southern Thailand, Zachary Abuza and panelists will discuss an overlooked and brewing insurgency in southern Thailand and will address its impact on Thailand, Southeast Asia, and the global war on terror.

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December 8, 2008

Book discussion co-sponsored with the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars

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September 10, 2008

A public event co-sponsored with the Center for Strategic and International Studies

Countries: Afghanistan, Pakistan
January 16, 2008
October 18, 2007
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November 9, 2006
Countries: Egypt, Jordan, Morocco, Yemen
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August 17, 2006